130925-studie-wildlife-comeback-in-europe
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
No. of species<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
No. of species<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
5<br />
A<br />
C<br />
No. of species<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
No. of species<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
B<br />
D<br />
bution losses <strong>in</strong> bovids. However, s<strong>in</strong>ce this refers<br />
to relatively localised areas, it may aga<strong>in</strong> be a<br />
reflection of difference <strong>in</strong> spatial resolution of the<br />
underly<strong>in</strong>g range <strong>in</strong>formation.<br />
For birds, a comparison of the current spatial<br />
distribution of species with that <strong>in</strong> the 1980s<br />
(Figure 9) suggests an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the number of<br />
species present <strong>in</strong> northern and north-central<br />
Europe and a decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> southeastern Europe, as is<br />
the case with the mammals. Similar patterns can be<br />
seen for the number of species ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and los<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />
their distribution s<strong>in</strong>ce the 1980s, with more species<br />
expand<strong>in</strong>g their range <strong>in</strong> central and northwestern<br />
Europe, and more species contract<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> southeastern<br />
Europe, but also <strong>in</strong> Iberia (Figure 9).<br />
For mammals, we <strong>in</strong>vestigated the pattern of<br />
range change further. Distribution changes from<br />
the past to the present were on the whole positive<br />
for ungulates (+15.28%, n=9; five species ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong> distribution and four species contract<strong>in</strong>g) and<br />
negative for carnivores (-13.9% and -19%, respectively<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g (n=8) and exclud<strong>in</strong>g p<strong>in</strong>nipeds<br />
(n=6); four species ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> distribution and<br />
four contract<strong>in</strong>g), although order did not have a<br />
significant effect on range change (Figure 10a).<br />
Positive range change was most pronounced<br />
among medium to large species (50–100 kg<br />
average weight), though aga<strong>in</strong> this was not statistically<br />
significant and showed much variation<br />
(Figure 10B). There was a larger amount of positive<br />
range change for species which expanded from<br />
larger past ranges, compared to those species<br />
expand<strong>in</strong>g from smaller ranges, though aga<strong>in</strong> this<br />
was not significant (Figure 10c).<br />
Figure 8.<br />
Spatial occurrence of<br />
distribution ga<strong>in</strong>s and<br />
losses for mammals,<br />
between 1950s/60s<br />
and present day,<br />
expressed as<br />
number of species<br />
ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g [carnivores<br />
(a), ungulates (c)] or<br />
los<strong>in</strong>g distribution<br />
area [carnivores (b),<br />
ungulates (d)].<br />
271