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130925-studie-wildlife-comeback-in-europe

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No. of species<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

No. of species<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

A<br />

C<br />

No. of species<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

No. of species<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

B<br />

D<br />

bution losses <strong>in</strong> bovids. However, s<strong>in</strong>ce this refers<br />

to relatively localised areas, it may aga<strong>in</strong> be a<br />

reflection of difference <strong>in</strong> spatial resolution of the<br />

underly<strong>in</strong>g range <strong>in</strong>formation.<br />

For birds, a comparison of the current spatial<br />

distribution of species with that <strong>in</strong> the 1980s<br />

(Figure 9) suggests an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the number of<br />

species present <strong>in</strong> northern and north-central<br />

Europe and a decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> southeastern Europe, as is<br />

the case with the mammals. Similar patterns can be<br />

seen for the number of species ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and los<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

their distribution s<strong>in</strong>ce the 1980s, with more species<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g their range <strong>in</strong> central and northwestern<br />

Europe, and more species contract<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> southeastern<br />

Europe, but also <strong>in</strong> Iberia (Figure 9).<br />

For mammals, we <strong>in</strong>vestigated the pattern of<br />

range change further. Distribution changes from<br />

the past to the present were on the whole positive<br />

for ungulates (+15.28%, n=9; five species ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong> distribution and four species contract<strong>in</strong>g) and<br />

negative for carnivores (-13.9% and -19%, respectively<br />

<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g (n=8) and exclud<strong>in</strong>g p<strong>in</strong>nipeds<br />

(n=6); four species ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> distribution and<br />

four contract<strong>in</strong>g), although order did not have a<br />

significant effect on range change (Figure 10a).<br />

Positive range change was most pronounced<br />

among medium to large species (50–100 kg<br />

average weight), though aga<strong>in</strong> this was not statistically<br />

significant and showed much variation<br />

(Figure 10B). There was a larger amount of positive<br />

range change for species which expanded from<br />

larger past ranges, compared to those species<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g from smaller ranges, though aga<strong>in</strong> this<br />

was not significant (Figure 10c).<br />

Figure 8.<br />

Spatial occurrence of<br />

distribution ga<strong>in</strong>s and<br />

losses for mammals,<br />

between 1950s/60s<br />

and present day,<br />

expressed as<br />

number of species<br />

ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g [carnivores<br />

(a), ungulates (c)] or<br />

los<strong>in</strong>g distribution<br />

area [carnivores (b),<br />

ungulates (d)].<br />

271

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