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130925-studie-wildlife-comeback-in-europe

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Executive summary<br />

With biodiversity <strong>in</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g decl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

worldwide, and targets set to reduce biodiversity<br />

loss not be<strong>in</strong>g met, conservation successes are<br />

rare <strong>in</strong> comparison to the news on decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

populations and ext<strong>in</strong>ctions. Wildlife <strong>in</strong> Europe<br />

is show<strong>in</strong>g a variety of responses to human<br />

pressure: while certa<strong>in</strong> groups are clearly <strong>in</strong><br />

decl<strong>in</strong>e and require conservation attention,<br />

other <strong>wildlife</strong> species are show<strong>in</strong>g resurgence<br />

from previously low levels. Understand<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

mechanisms allow<strong>in</strong>g this <strong>wildlife</strong> <strong>comeback</strong> is<br />

crucial to better conservation of <strong>wildlife</strong> both <strong>in</strong><br />

Europe and across the world, if we can apply the<br />

pr<strong>in</strong>ciples underly<strong>in</strong>g conservation success to<br />

reverse decl<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> other species.<br />

In this report, we attempt to unravel patterns<br />

and processes beh<strong>in</strong>d <strong>wildlife</strong> <strong>comeback</strong> <strong>in</strong> Europe<br />

s<strong>in</strong>ce the mid-20 th century, focuss<strong>in</strong>g on a selected<br />

subset of mammals and birds. Of the many<br />

possible metrics of biodiversity change, we focus<br />

on two of the most useful and widely reported <strong>in</strong><br />

order to understand the recent positive changes<br />

<strong>in</strong> some species. Firstly, we exam<strong>in</strong>e changes <strong>in</strong><br />

species range. Secondly, we exam<strong>in</strong>e the change <strong>in</strong><br />

population abundance and possible factors beh<strong>in</strong>d<br />

the trends, such as the mitigation of threats or<br />

targeted conservation action.<br />

The story of conservation success aga<strong>in</strong>st a<br />

backdrop of a biodiversity crisis is given centre<br />

stage by means of detailed accounts for 18<br />

mammal and 19 bird species show<strong>in</strong>g signs of<br />

<strong>comeback</strong>. For each, we exam<strong>in</strong>e population<br />

trends over time and evaluate historical and<br />

current ranges, highlight<strong>in</strong>g where a species’<br />

range has contracted, persisted, expanded or<br />

been recolonised over time.<br />

Our analysis shows that while these species<br />

have <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong> abundance s<strong>in</strong>ce the 1960s (with<br />

the exception of the Iberian lynx (Lynx pard<strong>in</strong>us),<br />

which decl<strong>in</strong>ed), there is great variation between<br />

species and regions. For example, abundance<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases ranged from less than 10% for the Red<br />

kite (Milvus milvus) to more than 3,000% for the<br />

European bison (Bison bonasus), Eurasian beaver<br />

(Castor fiber), White-headed duck (Oxyura leucocephala)<br />

and some populations of P<strong>in</strong>k-footed<br />

goose (Anser brachyrhynchus) and Barnacle goose<br />

(Branta leucopsis). For mammal species, <strong>in</strong>creases<br />

<strong>in</strong> abundance were greatest <strong>in</strong> southern and<br />

western Europe.<br />

Analysis of range change showed that the<br />

mammal species selected for this study have, on<br />

average, <strong>in</strong>creased their distribution range by<br />

around 30% s<strong>in</strong>ce the mid-20 th century. Ranges<br />

of bird species selected for this study have on<br />

average rema<strong>in</strong>ed stable over the same time<br />

period, although the majority of species at first<br />

contracted considerably, but then expanded<br />

aga<strong>in</strong> by 14% s<strong>in</strong>ce the 1980s. There is much<br />

variation <strong>in</strong> species distribution trends among<br />

taxa and across space, from cluster<strong>in</strong>g of range<br />

expansions <strong>in</strong> Fennoscandia and eastern Europe<br />

for mammalian carnivores, to pan-European<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> deer, with oppos<strong>in</strong>g trends between<br />

central and northwestern Europe, where more<br />

bird species have expanded, and southeastern<br />

Europe where more have contracted.<br />

We f<strong>in</strong>d that <strong>wildlife</strong> <strong>comeback</strong> <strong>in</strong> Europe s<strong>in</strong>ce<br />

the mid-20 th century appears to be predom<strong>in</strong>antly<br />

due to species protection and active targeted<br />

conservation (both birds and mammals), habitat<br />

management and site protection (birds) and legal<br />

protection (both). Of the species management<br />

techniques, actively boost<strong>in</strong>g exist<strong>in</strong>g or sett<strong>in</strong>g<br />

up new populations, via translocations and<br />

re<strong>in</strong>troductions, was the foremost type of species<br />

management l<strong>in</strong>ked to <strong>in</strong>creased abundances<br />

amongst mammals and birds. Reduction <strong>in</strong><br />

hunt<strong>in</strong>g pressure, protection from persecution<br />

and the phas<strong>in</strong>g out of certa<strong>in</strong> toxic chemicals,<br />

thus decreas<strong>in</strong>g non-natural mortality, were also<br />

important for species recovery.<br />

Despite a picture of <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g abundance and<br />

expand<strong>in</strong>g distributions for a number of European<br />

bird and mammal species, many other species are<br />

still at risk. Furthermore, the results of this report<br />

have to be viewed <strong>in</strong> the context of large historical<br />

range decl<strong>in</strong>es. In some <strong>in</strong>stances, such as with<br />

European carnivores and many bird species, ranges<br />

and abundances had already decl<strong>in</strong>ed dramatically<br />

from historical distributions by the mid-20 th<br />

century. Therefore, <strong>wildlife</strong> resurgence has to be<br />

White-tailed eagle <strong>in</strong><br />

Flatanger, Norway.<br />

7

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