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Transportation's Role in Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...

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<strong>Transportation's</strong> <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> Reduc<strong>in</strong>g U.S. <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong>: Volume 1<br />

gradually reduce emissions to 17 percent below 2005 levels by 2020, and 83<br />

percent below 2005 levels by 2050.<br />

An allowance price of $15 per ton translates <strong>in</strong>to an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the price of<br />

gasol<strong>in</strong>e of $0.13 per gallon, based on its carbon content. 128 An allowance price of<br />

$30 implies an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> gasol<strong>in</strong>e prices of $0.26 per gallon. Price <strong>in</strong>creases of<br />

other transportation fuels would rise similarly <strong>in</strong> proportion to their carbon<br />

content, as shown <strong>in</strong> Table 4.1.<br />

128 The price impacts shown are only due to the combustion of fuel. S<strong>in</strong>ce upstream and<br />

ref<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g emissions will be <strong>in</strong>cluded under cap and trade, the cost of these emissions will<br />

be reflected <strong>in</strong> the price seen by the consumer to some degree. The estimate also does<br />

not <strong>in</strong>clude general equilibrium effects, e.g., the dynamic effects on fuel prices from<br />

lowered demand for fuel as a result of the carbon price.<br />

4-17

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