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Transportation's Role in Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...

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Transportations <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> Reduc<strong>in</strong>g U.S. <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong>: Volume 2<br />

<strong>in</strong>ventory to the U.S. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the United Nations Framework Convention on<br />

Climate Change (UNFCCC) report<strong>in</strong>g guidel<strong>in</strong>es, national totals of GHG emissions should<br />

reflect only domestic transport, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the domestic leg of shipments bound for foreign<br />

markets (i.e., operations with<strong>in</strong> 200 miles of the coastl<strong>in</strong>e); <strong>in</strong>ternational aviation and<br />

mar<strong>in</strong>e bunker fuel emissions from fuel sold to ships or aircraft engaged <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

transport should be excluded from national totals (UNFCCC, 2006). However,<br />

differentiat<strong>in</strong>g domestic and <strong>in</strong>ternational fuel consumption is often difficult, result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

significant year-to-year variations <strong>in</strong> the official estimates.<br />

The comb<strong>in</strong>ed GHG benefits that could be anticipated from mar<strong>in</strong>e vessel improvements<br />

are estimated as follows. The range of ship design benefits (1-17.9 mmt CO2e) is added to<br />

the range of propulsion system benefits (3.1-7.4 mmt CO2e). While there may be some<br />

overlap between these categories, most of the ship design benefits will be realized for<br />

long-distance ships while propulsion benefits will primarily be realized for ships<br />

operat<strong>in</strong>g near-shore. Some additional benefits could be realized through w<strong>in</strong>d and solar<br />

power, but these technologies are still speculative (particularly w<strong>in</strong>d). The comb<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

benefit is estimated to be 4.1 to 25.3 mmt CO2e <strong>in</strong> 2050, with about two-thirds of these<br />

benefits realized <strong>in</strong> 2030 depend<strong>in</strong>g upon fleet turnover and phase-<strong>in</strong> of other<br />

technologies.<br />

Improvements <strong>in</strong> Ship Design<br />

Overview<br />

In general larger ships provide efficiencies of scale and are capable of transport<strong>in</strong>g more<br />

cargo per gallon of fuel than smaller vessels. This scal<strong>in</strong>g effect has led to an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong><br />

vessel size of about 4 percent per year for newly constructed vessels, with an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>stalled power at rates about 10 percent per year. This is more than twice the rate of<br />

growth <strong>in</strong> seaborne trade and is driven largely by growth <strong>in</strong> conta<strong>in</strong>erized shipp<strong>in</strong>g<br />

deliver<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>termodal cargoes to onroad and railway freight shippers (Corbett, 2007). The<br />

net growth <strong>in</strong> fuel use and GHGs is nearly proportional to the growth <strong>in</strong> cargo volumes.<br />

One of the reasons that fuel use trends are not <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> direct proportion to <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

<strong>in</strong>stalled power is that new vessels take advantage of improved hull designs and other<br />

technologies. These changes <strong>in</strong> hull design <strong>in</strong>clude application of ducktails and<br />

<strong>in</strong>terceptor planes which extend the stern of the vessel and enhance propeller efficiency<br />

(Wartsila, 2008; Kanerva, 2006; Jaap, 2005).<br />

Vessel efficiency decl<strong>in</strong>es when mar<strong>in</strong>e plants and animals accumulate on a ship’s<br />

underwater hull caus<strong>in</strong>g foul<strong>in</strong>g. Advances <strong>in</strong> vessels coat<strong>in</strong>gs, such as self-polish<strong>in</strong>g<br />

res<strong>in</strong> systems based on hydrolysable acrylate polymers, <strong>in</strong>hibit foul<strong>in</strong>g, and provide a<br />

smoother surface (Royal Caribbean International, 2008; Kiil, 2001). Similarly, vessel<br />

efficiency also can be improved by <strong>in</strong>ject<strong>in</strong>g small amounts of air <strong>in</strong> the turbulent<br />

boundary layer underneath the ship (Wartsila, 2008; Okada, 2008; Technology Demark,<br />

2007; Katsui, 2003). As a result, drag is reduced through the movement of the air bubbles<br />

and the formation of a th<strong>in</strong> film of air along the vessel’s hull. This technology has been<br />

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