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Transportation's Role in Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...

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Transportation’s <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> Reduc<strong>in</strong>g U.S. <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong>: Volume 2<br />

approximately $100 per ton for a fee of $0.03 per mile, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g only direct<br />

implementation costs (Cambridge Systematics, 2009); for a range of fees from $0.02 to $0.05<br />

per mile this would correspond to a cost-effectiveness <strong>in</strong> the range of $60 to $150 per tonne<br />

(assum<strong>in</strong>g the same implementation costs regardless of fee level). Higher fees should be<br />

more cost-effective than lower fees because they will have a greater impact on VMT with<br />

little or no additional adm<strong>in</strong>istrative cost. These cost estimates do not <strong>in</strong>clude vehicle<br />

operat<strong>in</strong>g cost sav<strong>in</strong>gs to travelers, welfare losses from decreased mobility, or the fees<br />

themselves; <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g vehicle operat<strong>in</strong>g costs would yield a net sav<strong>in</strong>gs of $650 per tonne<br />

for a one-cent fee or $840 per tonne for a three-cent fee, accord<strong>in</strong>g to analysis conducted for<br />

the Mov<strong>in</strong>g Cooler study (Cambridge Systematics, 2009). 8<br />

Cobenefits<br />

The fees are considered to be<br />

transfers (from <strong>in</strong>dividuals to the transportation operator, and which may be returned to<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividuals through transportation <strong>in</strong>vestments or tax rebates), and would not represent a<br />

net social cost.<br />

Reductions <strong>in</strong> air pollutant emissions and crashes should be roughly proportional to the<br />

reduction <strong>in</strong> VMT as a result of the fee. Consumers will experience some welfare losses as<br />

a result of decreased mobility. To the extent that congestion is reduced, however, some<br />

peak-period travelers with high values of time (or those rid<strong>in</strong>g transit and not pay<strong>in</strong>g fees)<br />

will benefit.<br />

A VMT fee of 1 cent (averaged across vehicle classes) would generate annual gross<br />

revenues rang<strong>in</strong>g from $30 billion currently to between $46 and $57 billion per year <strong>in</strong> the<br />

future, depend<strong>in</strong>g on the level of future VMT growth. Even with reduced travel due to<br />

higher prices, a 5-cent-per-mile VMT fee would generate over $150 billion per year,<br />

grow<strong>in</strong>g annually. Some of these costs would be needed to cover adm<strong>in</strong>istration of the fee;<br />

the rema<strong>in</strong>der could be re<strong>in</strong>vested <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure or returned to taxpayers. The<br />

additional revenue generated does not represent a net benefit to society; <strong>in</strong>stead, it is a<br />

transfer that offsets the losses to travelers who are pay<strong>in</strong>g higher fees.<br />

Feasibility<br />

VMT fees have not yet been implemented <strong>in</strong> the U.S. A weight distance tax is<br />

adm<strong>in</strong>istered by Oregon for heavy vehicles, and Oregon is also one of the lead<strong>in</strong>g States <strong>in</strong><br />

consider<strong>in</strong>g the application of VMT fees to all vehicles. A shift to mileage-based pric<strong>in</strong>g<br />

must overcome considerable political and <strong>in</strong>stitutional resistance due <strong>in</strong> particular to<br />

concerns over privacy issues, the logistics of implementation, and the appearance of<br />

implement<strong>in</strong>g a new tax. Monitor<strong>in</strong>g through mechanical hubodometers requires a<br />

relatively frequent (annual or biennial) <strong>in</strong>spection which is not currently conducted <strong>in</strong> all<br />

8 The Mov<strong>in</strong>g Cooler study (Cambridge Systematics, 2009) exam<strong>in</strong>ed the GHG impacts and costeffectiveness<br />

of a wide range of strategies directed at reduc<strong>in</strong>g VMT and improv<strong>in</strong>g transportation<br />

system efficiency. More <strong>in</strong>formation on this study, which is referenced for a number of strategies<br />

presented <strong>in</strong> this section, is <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> Appendix A.<br />

5-19

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