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Transportation's Role in Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...

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Transportation’s <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> Reduc<strong>in</strong>g U.S. <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong>: Volume 2<br />

The proportion of GHG use associated with vehicle operation versus fuels production and<br />

transport can vary significantly by the type of fuel. For example, hydrogen fuel cells and<br />

electric vehicles have no operat<strong>in</strong>g emissions s<strong>in</strong>ce there is no fuel combustion <strong>in</strong> the<br />

vehicle.<br />

Summary of Impacts<br />

Ethanol benefits vary substantially depend<strong>in</strong>g upon the feedstock used to produce the fuel<br />

and the production pathway. For <strong>in</strong>stance, us<strong>in</strong>g low carbon energy sources to process<br />

the feedstock <strong>in</strong>to fuel produces lower greenhouse gas emissions than high carbon energy<br />

sources. Cellulosic ethanol, such as ethanol from switchgrass, shows much greater GHG<br />

benefits than first generation biofuels. Cellulosic ethanol is produced from the structural<br />

material that comprises much of the mass of plants. As EPA’s renewable fuel standard<br />

rulemak<strong>in</strong>g was ongo<strong>in</strong>g at the time of writ<strong>in</strong>g, this report to Congress does not <strong>in</strong>clude<br />

analysis of biofuels, at EPA’s request. Readers are <strong>in</strong>stead referred to EPA’s renewable<br />

fuels website, which <strong>in</strong>cludes draft life cycle analysis of the greenhouse gas impacts of<br />

renewable fuels: http://www.epa.gov/OMS/renewablefuels/.<br />

Biodiesel provides the potential for GHG reductions <strong>in</strong> heavy-duty vehicles, and a blend<br />

with conventional diesel of up to 20 percent biodiesel (B20) is compatible with exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />

eng<strong>in</strong>es and <strong>in</strong>frastructure. Biodiesel can be used <strong>in</strong> light and heavy duty road vehicles<br />

and mar<strong>in</strong>e vessels, although further research is required on material compatibility issues<br />

for rail applications. For more <strong>in</strong>formation, readers are referred to EPA’s renewable fuels<br />

website, which <strong>in</strong>cludes draft life cycle analysis of the greenhouse gas impacts of<br />

renewable fuels: http://www.epa.gov/OMS/renewablefuels/.<br />

Natural gas is a clean-burn<strong>in</strong>g fossil fuel that has a well-established pipel<strong>in</strong>e system for<br />

distribution and provides moderate life-cycle GHG reductions relative to light-duty<br />

gasol<strong>in</strong>e vehicles (about 15 percent compared to gasol<strong>in</strong>e vehicles, roughly equivalent to<br />

diesel vehicle benefits). A GHG reduction of 7 to 13 mmt per year (0.3 to 0.6 percent of<br />

transportation emissions <strong>in</strong> 2030) is estimated assum<strong>in</strong>g a 3 to 6 percent LDV market share<br />

for compressed natural gas (CNG) <strong>in</strong> 2030. The relatively low potential benefit is not<br />

constra<strong>in</strong>ed so much by natural gas supplies as by the ability to move natural gas away<br />

from other end uses such as electricity production and residential heat<strong>in</strong>g. Natural gas<br />

would not provide significant GHG benefits <strong>in</strong> heavy-duty vehicles (HDV) or the off-road<br />

sector, s<strong>in</strong>ce it would primarily displace diesel fuel rather than gasol<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

CNG vehicles have a proven performance and safety record, although range penalties can<br />

be significant. CNG also is one of the few alternative fuels available that offers potentially<br />

lower fuel costs relative to conventional fuels, with the break-even po<strong>in</strong>t estimated to be<br />

about $2.50 per gallon of gasol<strong>in</strong>e (pretax). Preferred applications for CNG vehicles are<br />

fleets with high mileage and centralized refuel<strong>in</strong>g. Primary barriers to implementation<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude the limited number of CNG vehicle offer<strong>in</strong>gs, limited refuel<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure, and<br />

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