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Transportation's Role in Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...

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Transportation’s <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> Reduc<strong>in</strong>g U.S. <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong>: Volume 2<br />

2-20<br />

costs; however, others may reduce net ownership costs. The relative costs and benefits<br />

will vary for each option depend<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>in</strong>cremental vehicle costs and fuel prices.<br />

Increased domestic fuel production will provide additional employment opportunities.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ally, many of these options will require <strong>in</strong>creased vehicle manufactur<strong>in</strong>g capacity to<br />

meet <strong>in</strong>creased demand, which also will <strong>in</strong>crease employment opportunities.<br />

• Efficient System Management and Operation – Certa<strong>in</strong> fuel options may affect the<br />

management and operation of the transportation system. To the extent that access to<br />

alternative fuels may be limited, system operation may be constra<strong>in</strong>ed to certa<strong>in</strong><br />

regions or refuel<strong>in</strong>g locations. Such concerns will be most prevalent dur<strong>in</strong>g transition<br />

periods, before full build out of new <strong>in</strong>frastructure capacity.<br />

• System Preservation – The fuel options are assumed to have negligible impact on<br />

preservation of the exist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure.<br />

Table 2.3 Relative Life-Cycle <strong>Emissions</strong> of Alternative Fuels (Percent<br />

Change versus Conventional <strong>Gas</strong>ol<strong>in</strong>e)<br />

Conventional<br />

<strong>Gas</strong>ol<strong>in</strong>e<br />

<strong>Gas</strong>eous<br />

Pollutant <strong>Emissions</strong> (g/mi) CNG LPG Hydrogenb Battery<br />

Electric<br />

Vehiclec VOC 0.316 -45% -35% -92% -91%<br />

CO 3.817 0% 0% -98% -98%<br />

NOx 0.379 -20% -14% -59% -11%<br />

PM10 0.083 -9% -47% 23% 416%<br />

PM2.5 0.036 -20% -38% 36% 220%<br />

SOx 0.126 +11% -14% N/A 494%<br />

Source: GREET Model Version 1.8b, with default assumptions for current vehicle technologies. Relative<br />

emissions will vary depend<strong>in</strong>g upon vehicle emission controls as well as fuel extraction and<br />

production methods. Relative emissions may change <strong>in</strong> future years as these various technologies<br />

evolve <strong>in</strong> different ways.<br />

b Assum<strong>in</strong>g distributed natural gas reform<strong>in</strong>g, the current primary production pathway; these values do not<br />

represent future technologies or other production pathways or feedstocks. Refer to Section 2.8 for detailed<br />

hydrogen production pathways.<br />

c Assum<strong>in</strong>g current grid-average electricity generation mix. Future scenarios will differ considerably<br />

depend<strong>in</strong>g upon grid mix and when vehicles are charged. See Section 3.2.4 for a detailed analysis of<br />

electricity dispatch impacts.

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