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Transportation's Role in Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...

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Transportations <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> Reduc<strong>in</strong>g U.S. <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong>: Volume 2<br />

Methodological Issues<br />

The LDV analyses presented below are based on f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs from the relevant literature<br />

regard<strong>in</strong>g the effectiveness and costs of the various efficiency improvement options. The<br />

studies consulted frequently featured different assumptions and calculation methods,<br />

<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the type of vehicle(s) evaluated (e.g., compact, mid-sized, trucks), driv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

patters (urban versus highway), and the technology package of the vehicle to which the<br />

technology is compared. In addition, assumptions regard<strong>in</strong>g vehicle miles traveled, retail<br />

price markups, the treatment of fuel taxes and subsidies, acceptable payback periods and<br />

discount rates vary between studies as well, all of which can have substantial impacts on<br />

cost and cost-effectiveness estimates. F<strong>in</strong>ally, the elements of the “technology packages”<br />

evaluated <strong>in</strong> these studies were often different as well. As such, direct comparison of the<br />

f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs from these studies is difficult, and their subsequent use <strong>in</strong> this analysis must be<br />

viewed as provid<strong>in</strong>g generalized estimates, rather than precise assessments of the<br />

different technology costs and benefits.<br />

Advanced Conventional <strong>Gas</strong>ol<strong>in</strong>e Vehicles<br />

Overview<br />

Eng<strong>in</strong>e and powertra<strong>in</strong> advancements can <strong>in</strong>crease the efficiency of convert<strong>in</strong>g fuel energy<br />

to vehicle movement. These technologies range from m<strong>in</strong>or changes to current eng<strong>in</strong>e<br />

characteristics to complete modification <strong>in</strong> the way fuel is burned. These technologies are<br />

not available for retrofit, and will penetrate the marketplace only through the purchase of<br />

new vehicles. Many of these technologies will be adopted to meet upcom<strong>in</strong>g CAFE<br />

requirements. These strategies also may be adopted on an accelerated schedule and/or at<br />

a higher market penetration level <strong>in</strong> order to extend their benefits beyond the regulatory<br />

base case scenario.<br />

Some of the technologies discussed below can be applied to gasol<strong>in</strong>e or diesel eng<strong>in</strong>es,<br />

while others apply only to gasol<strong>in</strong>e systems. Many improvements <strong>in</strong>tended for gasol<strong>in</strong>e<br />

eng<strong>in</strong>es attempt to make them operate more like their more efficient diesel counterparts<br />

by reduc<strong>in</strong>g throttl<strong>in</strong>g losses or <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g compression ratios. In effect, these<br />

technologies attempt to capture diesel-cycle efficiencies without the <strong>in</strong>creased pollutant<br />

formation.<br />

Technologies that vary air <strong>in</strong>take and exhaust valve tim<strong>in</strong>g, compression ratio, and eng<strong>in</strong>e<br />

displacement all allow eng<strong>in</strong>es to operate more efficiently over a wider range of<br />

conditions. Variable valve tim<strong>in</strong>g and variable displacement are technologies currently<br />

available on a wide range of vehicles, but are still be<strong>in</strong>g advanced <strong>in</strong> ways that can<br />

provide substantial fuel consumption benefits. Variable valve tim<strong>in</strong>g is particularly<br />

common, be<strong>in</strong>g found on approximately half of all new vehicles, while variable<br />

displacement is less common, be<strong>in</strong>g limited to larger six to eight cyl<strong>in</strong>der eng<strong>in</strong>es with<br />

larger pump<strong>in</strong>g losses. (Bandivadekar et al., 2008). On the other hand, variable<br />

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