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Transportation's Role in Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...

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Transportations <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> Reduc<strong>in</strong>g U.S. <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong>: Volume 2<br />

greater proportional impact than those focused on light-duty vehicles because of the<br />

higher tax rate on diesel fuel (24.4 vs. 18.4 cents per gallon). A shift from gasol<strong>in</strong>e to diesel<br />

light-duty vehicles would have a smaller revenue impact, s<strong>in</strong>ce while less total fuel is<br />

consumed, the tax rate on diesel fuel is higher.<br />

This analysis describes potential impacts to Federal transportation revenues under the<br />

current f<strong>in</strong>ance scenario. Fund<strong>in</strong>g shortfalls could be mitigated or avoided <strong>in</strong> the future<br />

through shifts <strong>in</strong> tax structures or through alternative <strong>in</strong>frastructure fund<strong>in</strong>g mechanisms.<br />

� 3.2 On-Road Light-Duty Vehicles<br />

Light-duty vehicles (LDV) <strong>in</strong>clude passenger cars, light trucks, m<strong>in</strong>ivans, and sport-utility<br />

vehicles (SUV). 7 These vehicles are primarily used for personal transportation, although<br />

some are placed <strong>in</strong> service for commercial purposes. Light-duty vehicles are the s<strong>in</strong>gle<br />

largest GHG-emitt<strong>in</strong>g subset of the transportation sector, account<strong>in</strong>g for over half of U.S.<br />

transportation greenhouse gas emissions—57 percent, or 1,232 mmt CO2e <strong>in</strong> 2006. Future<br />

efficiency improvements established under the 2007 EISA are expected to reduce their<br />

contribution somewhat, to 1,081 mmt CO2e or 50 percent of all transportation emissions <strong>in</strong><br />

2030. However, light-duty vehicles still represent the s<strong>in</strong>gle-largest opportunity for<br />

reduc<strong>in</strong>g GHG emissions from the transportation sector.<br />

Strategies for improv<strong>in</strong>g the efficiency and reduc<strong>in</strong>g GHG emissions from light-duty<br />

vehicles discussed <strong>in</strong> this section <strong>in</strong>clude:<br />

• Advanced conventional gasol<strong>in</strong>e vehicles, which utilize improvements to the gasol<strong>in</strong>e<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternal combustion (IC) eng<strong>in</strong>e along with drivetra<strong>in</strong> and other vehicle attributes<br />

(such as w<strong>in</strong>d resistance and weight) to improve fuel efficiency;<br />

• Enhanced diesel vehicles that can meet str<strong>in</strong>gent new emissions standards while<br />

provid<strong>in</strong>g the efficiency and GHG benefits of diesel eng<strong>in</strong>es;<br />

• Hybrid-electric vehicles (HEV) that comb<strong>in</strong>e the <strong>in</strong>ternal combustion (IC) eng<strong>in</strong>e of a<br />

standard vehicle with the motor and battery technology of an electric vehicle; and<br />

• Plug-<strong>in</strong> hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), which are similar to HEVs but have more<br />

batteries and can plug <strong>in</strong>to the local power grid, beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g each trip on battery power.<br />

Fuel-cell and battery electric vehicles also offer the potential for significant long-term<br />

ga<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong> light-duty vehicles energy efficiency. These technologies rely on fundamentally<br />

which is consistent with AEO Reference case projections of relatively constant fuel consumption<br />

(with <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> VMT offsett<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> fuel efficiency).<br />

7 Trucks and larger vans are classified as light-duty if they have a gross vehicle weight rat<strong>in</strong>g (i.e.,<br />

total load carry<strong>in</strong>g capacity) of less than 8,500 pounds.<br />

3-20

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