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Transportation's Role in Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...

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Transportations <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> Reduc<strong>in</strong>g U.S. <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong>: Volume 2<br />

offset to some degree by an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the demand for professional MAC service. This<br />

type of legislation is meet<strong>in</strong>g resistance <strong>in</strong> California because it may disproportionately<br />

target low-<strong>in</strong>come citizens as these <strong>in</strong>dividuals make up a significant percentage of the<br />

DIY market. In addition, there would be an overall loss of utility as some people would<br />

choose to go without air condition<strong>in</strong>g. A refill deposit program would have fewer<br />

barriers to implementation, although it would likely be somewhat less effective. In this<br />

case, refrigerant suppliers would need to expand their delivery logistics to <strong>in</strong>clude the<br />

reclamation of used conta<strong>in</strong>ers from retail outlets that receive their products.<br />

Environmental fees on DIY small cans would have primarily legislative barriers to<br />

implementation (CARB, 2008c). California has chosen a refill can deposit program <strong>in</strong><br />

which cans must be self seal<strong>in</strong>g, and an $11 deposit is added to the purchase price of the<br />

can and refunded when the conta<strong>in</strong>er is returned <strong>in</strong>tact. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to CARB, this strategy<br />

has the most favorable cost/benefit ratio and avoids the issue of unfairly target<strong>in</strong>g lower<strong>in</strong>come<br />

motorists. In addition, strategies that target servic<strong>in</strong>g and EOL emissions also can<br />

impact reductions substantially <strong>in</strong> the near term, unlike those measures <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g MAC<br />

system modifications which require time for new vehicles to penetrate the fleet.<br />

The feasibility of alternative refrigerants is based on their safety, efficiency, and cost<br />

characteristics. While HFC-1234yf has a low GWP and its associated system is efficient, it<br />

does have a high material cost and is flammable. HFC-152a also is flammable, and it is<br />

more toxic than HFC-1234yf and HFC-134a. Currently, many States prohibit toxic or<br />

flammable refrigerants. However, renewed <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> these refrigerants is prompt<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

review of these requirements. The automotive community is work<strong>in</strong>g on designs to<br />

m<strong>in</strong>imize the risks of toxicity and flammability, and the literature suggests a consensus<br />

that these problems can be overcome. R-744, or CO2, can be toxic to passengers <strong>in</strong> the case<br />

of a sudden system depressurization, and requires significant and expensive changes to<br />

the designs of MAC systems. This is because these systems will not use gas-to-liquid<br />

phase change as is typically the case <strong>in</strong> conventional refrigeration cycles. Because of this,<br />

R-744 systems are not as effective <strong>in</strong> warm climates and they are not as efficient, result<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong> higher fuel consumption for cool<strong>in</strong>g (Andersen, 2008). F<strong>in</strong>ally, as discussed above, the<br />

CO2 emissions associated with MAC-related eng<strong>in</strong>e loads are comparable to, or even more<br />

significant than, the actual refrigerant impacts. As such, evaluations of alternative<br />

refrigerant options must <strong>in</strong>clude a careful evaluation of differential eng<strong>in</strong>e load impacts<br />

before settl<strong>in</strong>g on a preferred strategy.<br />

The move to an alternative refrigerant could take place <strong>in</strong> a manner similar to the change<br />

from R-12 to HFC-134a that occurred <strong>in</strong> the early 1990s. It is estimated that the conversion<br />

to HFC-134a cost automotive manufacturers and the service <strong>in</strong>dustry $8.5 billion, while<br />

the next change to a new refrigerant could cost over $40 billion. It is important that this<br />

conversion is performed at least at the national-level, and possibly at the <strong>in</strong>ternationallevel<br />

<strong>in</strong> order to keep costs to <strong>in</strong>dustry reasonable. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the literature, the choice<br />

of refrigerant does not appear to be driven by cost. Each refrigerant’s advantages and<br />

disadvantages are significant enough to outweigh cost differences among them. The EU<br />

set a date for HFC-134a phase out before there was agreement on which refrigerant would<br />

be the best alternative. While the EU assumes that a new refrigerant will have any<br />

rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g technical issues resolved by this time, determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the preferred refrigerant <strong>in</strong><br />

3-123

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