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Transportation's Role in Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...

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<strong>Transportation's</strong> <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> Reduc<strong>in</strong>g U.S. <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong>: Volume 1<br />

5-16<br />

and <strong>in</strong>dustry research programs—such as DOE’s FreedomCAR and Fuel<br />

Partnership—can be cont<strong>in</strong>ued. Upcom<strong>in</strong>g climate and energy legislation could<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude fund<strong>in</strong>g of a substantial jo<strong>in</strong>t research program to accelerate advanced<br />

research efforts. This basic research would set the stage for private <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />

<strong>in</strong> technologies with strong market potential.<br />

The need for extensive climate research—<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g a dual focus on both<br />

mitigation and adaptation—is an ongo<strong>in</strong>g national priority. For transportation<br />

as well as other sectors, a strong component of this research should be focused<br />

on the <strong>in</strong>formation needs of national, State, and local planners and system<br />

managers. Federal <strong>in</strong>teragency research partnerships—most notably the U.S.<br />

Climate Change Technology Program and U.S. Global Change Research<br />

Program—<strong>in</strong>clude active participation and direction from DOT and other<br />

program agencies. This close collaboration helps ensure that Federal research is<br />

conducted that addresses the specific data and technical needs of transportation<br />

decision-makers.<br />

Economy-Wide Price Signal<br />

Mechanism • Climate or energy legislation<br />

Key Options • Cap and trade<br />

• Carbon tax<br />

DOT <strong>Role</strong> • Technical support to Congress<br />

Magnitude and Tim<strong>in</strong>g of Transportation • Modest <strong>in</strong> near-term, moderate <strong>in</strong> mid-term, potentially<br />

GHG Reduction<br />

strong <strong>in</strong> long-term<br />

An economy-wide price signal could be established through a cap and trade<br />

system or a carbon tax. Cap and trade legislation is the primary policy option<br />

currently under discussion. Information on carbon taxes is found <strong>in</strong> Section 4.<br />

Legislation to establish a cap and trade program would support all strategies by<br />

creat<strong>in</strong>g a price signal for carbon that <strong>in</strong>corporates the negative externalities of<br />

carbon-based fuel use. An <strong>in</strong>creased price for carbon would provide <strong>in</strong>centives<br />

for consumers and bus<strong>in</strong>esses to m<strong>in</strong>imize carbon-based fuel consumption. This<br />

would help drive the development of cost-effective responses (e.g., technology<br />

development, travel behavior changes) that would reduce GHG emissions. The<br />

implementation of carbon pric<strong>in</strong>g—assum<strong>in</strong>g a sufficiently strong price is<br />

established—would result <strong>in</strong> reductions <strong>in</strong> fuel consumption and an ongo<strong>in</strong>g<br />

shift to non-carbon-based fuels and technologies across all sectors.<br />

In the near-term, however, the direct impact of an economy-wide cap and trade<br />

pric<strong>in</strong>g scheme on the transportation sector is expected to be limited compared<br />

with the impact on other sectors, especially the electricity generation sector. By<br />

def<strong>in</strong>ition, pric<strong>in</strong>g approaches for carbon stimulate reductions <strong>in</strong> those sectors for<br />

which the most cost-effective alternatives can be identified. If the cost of carbon<br />

fuels to transportation is <strong>in</strong>sufficiently high, significant transportation responses<br />

would be delayed until prices further rise. Further, market deficiencies can be

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