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Transportation's Role in Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...

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Transportation’s <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> Reduc<strong>in</strong>g U.S. <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong>: Volume 2<br />

Cost-Effectiveness<br />

While <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g truck size and weight limits would <strong>in</strong>volve only modest adm<strong>in</strong>istrative<br />

costs, heavy trucks cause more damage to the nation’s <strong>in</strong>frastructure than do lighter<br />

vehicles and would therefore more significantly <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong>frastructure ma<strong>in</strong>tenance costs.<br />

However, vehicle owners and shippers would benefit significantly from reduced vehicle<br />

operat<strong>in</strong>g costs, and therefore, fees could be charged to recover the added <strong>in</strong>frastructure<br />

costs. The Mov<strong>in</strong>g Cooler study estimated the cost-effectiveness of <strong>in</strong>creased size and<br />

weight permits to be about -$1,200 per tonne CO2e reduced—reflect<strong>in</strong>g a net cost sav<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

(Cambridge Systematics, 2009).<br />

Estimates of total pavement costs and the State cost responsibility from the Federal<br />

pavement cost responsibility from the Federal Highway Cost Allocation Study (FHWA,<br />

2000) suggest that it would cost $399 million ($0.1875 per new VMT) to cover the<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>tenance costs from allow<strong>in</strong>g dray trucks to carry heavier conta<strong>in</strong>ers and $432 million<br />

($0.481 per new VMT) to cover the costs of allow<strong>in</strong>g heavier natural resource vehicles.<br />

Heavier and longer trucks mean fewer trucks and lower vehicle operat<strong>in</strong>g costs, due to<br />

both fuel and labor sav<strong>in</strong>gs. Allow<strong>in</strong>g heavier natural resource vehicles is estimated to<br />

4-48<br />

Safety Impacts of Heavy and Long Comb<strong>in</strong>ation Vehicles<br />

While heavy and long-comb<strong>in</strong>ation trucks have generally been opposed due to safety concerns, the literature<br />

on this topic is <strong>in</strong>conclusive. A literature review by the Canada Safety Council (2003) found mixed evidence<br />

on the safety impacts of long comb<strong>in</strong>ation vehicles (LCV). Some studies suggest that LCVs tend to crash more<br />

than s<strong>in</strong>gle trailer trucks, while others suggest that they tend to crash less often. The picture is muddied by<br />

the <strong>in</strong>ability of researchers to compare the two modes with “all else be<strong>in</strong>g equal.” That is, the truckers who<br />

drive LCVs are generally more highly skilled than the average tractor trailer driver, they are restricted to the<br />

safest roads, and can only operate <strong>in</strong> the safest weather conditions. The risk exposure is different for LCV<br />

operations than it is for normal truck operations. Analysts have arrived at differ<strong>in</strong>g conclusions depend<strong>in</strong>g<br />

upon how they account for these risk factors.<br />

Furthermore, crash severity is a concern as well as crash frequency. A 1999 FHWA report suggests that<br />

LCV crashes tend to be marg<strong>in</strong>ally more severe than normal trucks, with a slightly higher <strong>in</strong>jury rate (31.28<br />

per million VMT for multiples compared to 28.01 for s<strong>in</strong>gles) but no significant difference <strong>in</strong> fatality rates<br />

(2.44 per million VMT for multiples compared to 2.43 for s<strong>in</strong>gle trailers).<br />

The same literature review (Canada Safety Council, 2003) found no research about the safety record of<br />

heavy vehicles of normal size. They will likely follow a similar pattern of crash rates to LCVs due to<br />

decreased maneuverability.<br />

To the extent that LCVs and heavy trucks reduce overall truck VMT, they have the potential to reduce crashes<br />

even if crash rates (on a per-mile basis) are similar. A study by the Transportation Research Board (TRB 2002)<br />

found that differences <strong>in</strong> crash <strong>in</strong>volvement rates among different truck types are smaller than the differences<br />

<strong>in</strong> vehicle capacity and the vehicles they would replace, so <strong>in</strong>volvement rates per unit of truck services should<br />

decl<strong>in</strong>e. This f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g suggests that <strong>in</strong>creased use of heavy trucks and LCVs should have a net safety benefit,<br />

assum<strong>in</strong>g that regulations are implemented <strong>in</strong> such a way as to reduce overall truck VMT (as required to<br />

achieve greenhouse gas reductions). If LCV and heavy truck use were expanded to more urbanized areas<br />

with higher traffic volumes and congestion levels, however, it is possible that the overall safety impacts could<br />

be different.

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