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Transportation's Role in Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...

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Transportations <strong>Role</strong> <strong>in</strong> Reduc<strong>in</strong>g U.S. <strong>Greenhouse</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Emissions</strong>: Volume 2<br />

tested and optimized <strong>in</strong> a tow<strong>in</strong>g tank and currently is be<strong>in</strong>g piloted on a 250-foot<br />

multipurpose vessel (Technology Denmark, 2007).<br />

In general, the vessel design technologies discussed <strong>in</strong> this section are commercially<br />

available. While hull designs can only be <strong>in</strong>troduced on new vessels, <strong>in</strong>terceptor planes,<br />

ducktails, and air <strong>in</strong>jectors can be added as retrofits, though these changes can be made<br />

more cost-effectively dur<strong>in</strong>g new vessel construction. Their application has been limited<br />

by the cost for retrofits; for example, <strong>in</strong>terceptor plates with ducktails can cost millions of<br />

dollars to <strong>in</strong>stall (IMO, 2009).<br />

Magnitude and Tim<strong>in</strong>g of GHG Reduction<br />

Use of larger conta<strong>in</strong>erships, tankers, and bulk carriers allows for more efficient<br />

movement of cargo. Generally a 10 percent <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> ship volume can improve fuel<br />

efficiency by 4 to 5 percent <strong>in</strong> terms of gallons of fuel needed per ton-mile transported<br />

(Wartsila, 2008). However, this can vary depend<strong>in</strong>g upon the vessel type and operation.<br />

Reduc<strong>in</strong>g vessel displacement by <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the hull width by only 0.25 meters allows for<br />

a reduction of 3,000 tons of ballast, reduc<strong>in</strong>g propulsion energy requirements by<br />

8.5 percent (Wartsila, 2008). Use of <strong>in</strong>terceptor or trim planes can improve fuel<br />

consumption by 1 to 4 percent, or up to 10 percent if the <strong>in</strong>terceptor or trim plane is used<br />

<strong>in</strong> conjunction with a ducktail (Wartsila, 2008; Hansen, 2008; Jaap, 2005). Air lubrication<br />

systems can improve fuel efficiency from 3.5 percent for ferry operations to 15 percent for<br />

large tankers (Wartsila, 2008; Technology Demark, 2007; Frey and Kuo, 2007; Katsui,<br />

2003).<br />

Given that the lifespan of large commercial vessels is over 35 years, fleet turnover is slow,<br />

roughly 2 percent of the fleet per year (EPA, 2002). Accord<strong>in</strong>gly it will take nearly half a<br />

century to <strong>in</strong>corporate current new hull designs <strong>in</strong>to the global fleet.<br />

Estimates of potential fuel sav<strong>in</strong>gs and emission reductions are provided <strong>in</strong> Table 3.6A.<br />

Information on the efficiency benefits of different technologies is quite limited and can<br />

vary significantly depend<strong>in</strong>g upon the characteristics of the specific vessel be<strong>in</strong>g modified<br />

(i.e., long-haul operations such as tankers and conta<strong>in</strong>erships, versus vessels whose<br />

operations can change frequently such as cruise ships and tugs). As a result, a<br />

considerable variation <strong>in</strong> the range of potential benefits is shown <strong>in</strong> Table 3.6A. These<br />

estimates assume that identified technologies currently are used <strong>in</strong> a very limited capacity<br />

or not at all, but will achieve full market penetration by 2050 if programs to encourage the<br />

application of these technologies are put <strong>in</strong> place <strong>in</strong> the near future. Comb<strong>in</strong>ed benefits<br />

could potentially range from 1.0 to 18 mmt CO2e. With a 25- to 40-year turnover cycle<br />

typical for mar<strong>in</strong>e vessels, benefits <strong>in</strong> 2030 could be <strong>in</strong> the range of half to three-quarters of<br />

the 2050 benefits, or up to 12 mmt CO2e assum<strong>in</strong>g a two-thirds turnover. 2030 benefits<br />

could potentially be higher if policies and/or market forces lead to accelerated fleet<br />

replacement.<br />

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