Electrical Power for Valdez and the Copper River Basin-1981

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As footnoted, the Alaska Power Administration adopted future powerdemand estimates front CVEA's 1976 power requirements study. The studyincluded estimates of demands through 1991; APA made a rough extension tothe year 2000, assuming a 6 percent rate of increase.Also footnoted is the actual performance of the utility from thebeginning year of the APA forecast to 1979. This projection was fairlyaccurate for 1976 and 1977 but diverged considerably in the years 1978and 1979. These later years represent a lull between the wind-down fromthe pipeline activity and the initiation of the ALPETCO refinery. TheRetherford Associates projection is too recent to test against historicaldata, however, a corresponding forecast made by Retherford in 1976 performedinversely to that of APA, with the greater inaccuracies appearingin the earlier years. Although the current Retherford projection willprobably out-perform the earlier APA forecast, it is ill-suited for theexpected high activity years of the early 1980's. The load forecastwhich is considered to be most accurate and was adopted for this study isAPA's 1980 estimate. Much too recent to test against historical data,this projection represents the best compromise between the other two, andincorporates the most current information available. This extrapolationis essentially a variation of Retherford with the earlier year adjustedto account for ALPETCO construction and subsequent maintenance, and alater period of reduced growth rates in the face of energy conservation.A graphic comparison of the various forecasts is shown on Figure B-4.Annual load factors are expected to remain in the 50 percent range.The incentive for the Valdez-Copper Valley community to avoid dieselgeneration is better understood in view of the fact that 1981 costs forthe system are expected to reach 114 mills per kWh. New hydro construction,with its high capital investment, does not appear resoundinglypreferred to diesel at this time. However, developments since 1973,including the abrupt price adjustments of 1979, cast considerable doubton the standard analysis based on fixed relative costs.Figures B-S through B-10 on the following pages portray how thesystem would look for the minimum, average, and peak weeks in 1990 and1995 with the addition of the PRT and Allison hydropower. The loadshapes are based on actual data for the combined systems of Glennallenand Valdez.The various shaded areas on the graphs represent the amount of firmenergy available during the respective weeks. It does not represent theactual ,mode in which it will operate. For example, Figure B-5 showsAllison hydro operating in a base mode with a continuous output of about4 megawatts. In reality, it may be used primarily for peaking.With the proper interfacing of the PRT with the Solomon and Allisonhydroelectric projects, it may be possible to increase the winter outputfrom the hydropower projects. This could be accomplished by increasedutilization of the PRT during periods of less demand. However, this wasnot taken into account for the graphic representations.B-11
FIGURE: 8-4ENERGY DEMAND PROJECTIONS: VALDEZ - COPPER VALLEY200.0REVISED APAPROJECTIONcoI~r'0100.0>(!)a:UJzUJR.W. RETHERFORDPROJECTION.890 I.e2000
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E---~for-~-~and the Copper River B-
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SYLLABUSThe geographic area conside
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SOUTHCENTRAL RAILBELT AREA. ALASKAI
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INTRODUCTIONDue to continued growth
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The city of Valdez conducted enviro
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FIGURE I:HYDROPOWER STUDY AREAFOR V
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oard feet of hardwoods, half of whi
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VALDEZ
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ALYESKA PIPELINE TERMINAL
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Other Activities:Nonseasonal stable
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Table 3Historical Population of Val
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Transportation and Tourism:Detailed
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The following tables show the futur
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framework of the study authority an
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Nucl ear:Nuclear energy development
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lntertie:With the deciSlon by the C
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If the powerhouse were moved to jus
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CONSERVATION:Description:THE NONSTR
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TRANSMISSION INTERTIEDescription_:T
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impaired. As a result, standoy gene
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ALLISON LAKE
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From the time of pO\'Ier-on-line, o
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Technical services such as electron
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175150FIGURE: 2ENERGY DEMAND - REVI
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175150FIGURE: 4ENERGY - REVISED APA
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SYSTEMOF ACCOUNTSAccountsPlan AAll
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AccountsPlan A.All Diesel Generatio
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then be determined for the 100-year
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Comnents received from the city of
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FINALENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT STATEMENT
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LIST OF PRFPARERSNameExpert i seExp
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COMPARATIVE IMPACTS OF ALTERNATIVES
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AREAS OF CONTROVERSYTo date no spec
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COVER SHEETLIST OF PREPARERSFINAL E
Page 70 and 71: A. NEED FOR AND OBJECTIVES OF ACTIO
Page 72 and 73: alternative has been estimated to p
Page 74 and 75: slopes surrounding Allisorl Lake ar
Page 76 and 77: weir to the mouth, with the majorit
Page 78 and 79: expected to Allison Creek below All
Page 80 and 81: 2. Biologicala. Vegetation:,r-.Hydr
Page 82 and 83: Waterfowl and water related birds f
Page 84 and 85: within the local community. The imp
Page 86 and 87: Cumulative impacts to the Port Vald
Page 88 and 89: Program-related issues. The Alaska
Page 90 and 91: 13.10INDEXSubjectsAffected Environm
Page 92 and 93: APPENDIX AHYDROLOGYTABLE OF CONTENT
Page 94 and 95: snowfields and glacier areas on the
Page 96 and 97: AVERAGE MONTHLY PRECIPITATION(inche
Page 98 and 99: gages at Lowe River near Valdez, Lo
Page 100 and 101: were estimated based on Tonsina Riv
Page 102 and 103: 'fUR r)c r ,-. n:c JA~ FEEl "'A~ AP
Page 104 and 105: --..,I-J--. -,-- - ----- - --TONS I
Page 106 and 107: ALLISON CREEKESTIMATED STREAMFLOW -
Page 108 and 109: APPENDIX BEXISTING SYSTEM ANDFUTURE
Page 110 and 111: IIHf{ODUCTIONThis section is devote
Page 112 and 113: FIGURE: B-1PRICE INCREASES OF DIESE
Page 114 and 115: Installed Generat.or Peak Energy fo
Page 116 and 117: 90008000700060005000- 4000 ~..-:300
Page 118 and 119: Table 4VALDEZ-GLENNALLEN AREA UTILI
Page 122 and 123: 201510CDI5.: ...:.T. .' !', ~. '.,
Page 124 and 125: SOLOMON HY I.IICU'-__'lOUIE 1-7 MlN
Page 126 and 127: , .. ,·.AYI.AG! fOWl. DlMANO WHit,
Page 128 and 129: The following is an excerpt from th
Page 130 and 131: Power Requirement Study (excerpt)GL
Page 132 and 133: APPENDIX CECONOMIC EVALUATION
Page 134 and 135: INTRODUCTIONThe purpose of this sec
Page 136 and 137: value of 66.92 mills/kWh. This figu
Page 138 and 139: FIGURE C-2: SOLOMON GULCH ALLISON L
Page 140 and 141: Er.Jployment Benefits Computation (
Page 142 and 143: energy would be fully utilized. As
Page 144 and 145: ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF HYDROPONER M
Page 146 and 147: ECONOMIC EV~LUATION OF HYDROPO~ER M
Page 148 and 149: ------~-~ECONO~IC EVALUATION OF HYD
Page 150 and 151: ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF HYDROPO~ER M
Page 152 and 153: ECONO~IC EVALUATION OF HYDROPOwER M
Page 154 and 155: APPENDI X DPROJECT DESCRIPTION AND
Page 156 and 157: POWERHOUSETypeTRANSMISSION LINEVolt
Page 158 and 159: POWERHOUSETypeTRANSMISSION LINEVolt
Page 160 and 161: VALDEZ HYDROELECTRIC POWER PROJECTG
Page 162 and 163: turbine. The penstock would bifurca
Page 164 and 165: TABLE D-lSUMMARY COST ESTIMATEOCTOB
Page 166 and 167: TABLE 0-3DETAILED COST ESTIMATEVALD
Page 168 and 169: TABLE D- 3 (cont)Cost Unit Tota 1Ac
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TABL E D-4DETAILED COST ESTIMATEVAL
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TABLE D-4 (cont)Co st Unit Tota 1Ac
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, ..... ,..\ (I),;> "----f .'-.. -I
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"'~~TAPANDROCK TRAP1600.•. -~ "00
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CORPS OF ENGINEERSU. S. ARMY./f----
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APPENDIX EENVIRONMENTAL DATA
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TABLE 1ATEMPERATURE RECORDING OF AL
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TABLE 1A (cont)ALL! SON CREEK (cont
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TABLE 1A (cont)ALLISON CREEK (cont)
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ALLISON CREEK (cont)FEBRUARY HIGH L
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ALLISON CREEK (cant)TABLE lA (cant)
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TABLE 1A (cont)ALLISON CREEK (cont)
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TABLE 1A (cont)SOLOMON CREEK - HIGH
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TABLE 1A (cant)SOLOMON CREEK (cant)
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TABLE 1A (cont)SOLOMON CREEK (cont)
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TABLE lA (cont)SOLOMON CREEK (cont)
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TABLE 1A (cont)SOLOMON CREEK (cont)
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SOLOMON CREEK (cont)TABLE 1A (cont)
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TABLE 2ACalculated Flows of Allison
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TABLE 2BCalculated Flows of Allison
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TABLE 4AWater Quality Data of Allis
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TABLE 4A (cont)PARAMETERCalciumMagn
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TABLE 4A (cont)PARAMETERTurb i d it
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TABLE 4A (cont)PARAMETERTurb i d it
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TABLE 4BALLISON LAKEWA TER QUALI TV
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TABLE 6BIRDS OF THE PORT VALDEZ ARE
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Oregon JuncoTree SparrowWhite-crown
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UNITED STf-lrESDEPARTMENT OF THE IN
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c. Effects on Benthos: The proposed
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An ecological evalu~)tion as requir
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JAY S. HAMMO~D. GOVERNORDEPARTMENr
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CULTURAL RESOURCESAboriginal Settin
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shorp--probablv to facilitate easie
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Today the Alyeska oil terminal enco
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APPENDIX GFOUNDATIONS AND MATERIALS
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100 psi pressure at depth. The sour
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-1'~~ ·/~-IU-'J\·-----'~r-.-;-,~
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~UMi'.'j~'~Y!lfGIOL~ N ..--Pa.w'rln
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; ;; Ii; Z II;;; II til, ;;; : i;;
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Valdez InterimSouthcentral Railbelt
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LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLESPageFigur
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-----------------------------------
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-~~ ~..rt~i~;Valdez Interim ReportS
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alder, salmonberry, blueberry, and
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Table IIPrince William Sound Salmon
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3/ 4/ 5/- - -1976 Average weights b
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the number of pink salmon counted i
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in the fall at the upper end of the
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Table 1 VAllison Creek -Discharge M
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outlet from the lake; however, the
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As stated previously, two alternati
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Discharge measurements are sparse a
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Streambed sedimentation can be caus
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8. That during the construction pha
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LITERATURE CITEDBailey, Jack E., an
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Sharp-shinned hawk - Accipiter stri
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Allison ereekTemperature DataDateTe
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ALLISON CREEKSeptember 1979 . Octob
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ALLISON CREEKDecember 1979 Januarl
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SOLOMON. CREEKSeEtember 1979 Octobe
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7. That clearing for the penstock c
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22. That a cooperative study of the
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APPENDIX IMARKETABILITY REPORT
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Department Of EnergyAlaska Power Ad
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Valdez/Glennallen Power Market Anal
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List of·Tab1esTableIII-1IV-1IV-2V-
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Valdez/Glennallen Power Market Anal
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CHAPTER IISUMMARYValdez and Glennal
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A. Assuming Allison Creek follows S
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CHAPTER IIIPOWER MARKET DESCRIPTION
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increases. Municipal construction h
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CHAPTER IVEXISTING POWER SYSTEMSSys
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TABLE IV-1HISTORICAL LOADS--VALDEZ
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Load FactorsThe following chart lis
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CHAPTER VFUTURE POWER AND ENERGY AS
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Table V-IVALDEZ/GLENNALLEN AREA UTI
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Table V-2INSTALLED CAPACITY REQUIRE
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CHAPTER VI .ALTERNATIVE GENERATION
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Biomass-FiredAlthough of many forms
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A Solomon Gulch article in the Dece
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Net EnergyThis section discusses th
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Table VII-2Valdez/Glennallen Foreca
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40VALDEZ/GLENNALLENCAPACITY/RESOURC
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150Figure VII-3140VALDEZ/GLENNALLEN
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150·Figure VII-5140VALDEZ/GLENNALL
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TABLE VIII-IASummary Cost EstimateO
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TABLE VIII-2Summary Cost EstimatePr
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Table VIII-3AAverage Rate Determina
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Table VIII-4CVEA Diesel Generation
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Table VIII-5Average Rate Comparison
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Table VIII-6Average Rate Determinat
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Table VIII-8Average Rate Determinat
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Table VIII-IOAverage Rate Determina
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----~------T'lble VIII-J 1Average R
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CHAPTER IXBIBLIOGRAPHY1. Power Cost
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: I,B'III Ii ::1: iii,APPENDIX JPUB
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Recipents of Valdez Draft Interim f
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u. s. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGEN
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25. ~e str?ngly recOTmend that an a
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UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF CO!'!ME
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3. have adequate flows for flushing
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Cnitc:d Srat6 [)c'~,artmcnt of the:
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AdvisoryCouncil OnHistoricPreservat
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Corps Of Engineers - 2 -11/4/80Than
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-2-'2. Most of the State 1 and enco
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-~-The SCH has no objection to this
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ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY333 WEST 4th
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Electrical Power for Valdez and the Copper River Basin-1981

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