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Electrical Power for Valdez and the Copper River Basin-1981

Electrical Power for Valdez and the Copper River Basin-1981

Electrical Power for Valdez and the Copper River Basin-1981

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<strong>Power</strong> Requirement Study (excerpt)GLENNALLENRural ResidentialRural residential consumers in <strong>the</strong> Glennallen area consist primarilyof single family units. Significant consumer growth was experienced inthis class of consumer during <strong>the</strong> 1974 to 1976 period due to constructionactivity related to <strong>the</strong> A1yeska Pipeline construction. Beginning in 1977<strong>and</strong> 1978, growth continued in <strong>the</strong> number of rural residential consumersbut at a much slower rate than experienced during pipeline construction.This was due to a return to an economy more normal to <strong>the</strong> area. Thenumber of consumers has not experienced a decline subsequent to <strong>the</strong>completion of <strong>the</strong> pipeline. It is expected that any consumers whichwould have departed <strong>the</strong> area have already done so. Many of <strong>the</strong> transientworkers (workers from outside <strong>the</strong> State of Alaska not bringing <strong>the</strong>irfamilies during pipeline construction) were housed in <strong>the</strong> Glennallen Camp(large power load) <strong>and</strong> would not appear in rural residential statistics.In projecting future growth in this class, it is expected that apreconstruct ion (1968-1974) growth rate will be followed. There isenough economic activity in <strong>the</strong> Glennallen area to assume this type ofgrowth. It is expected that <strong>the</strong> usage will, after several years ofdecline, begin a steady upward climb due to a return to more normaltemperatures <strong>for</strong> this area. The Glennallen area experienced ra<strong>the</strong>r warmwea<strong>the</strong>r in 1976-1978. Ano<strong>the</strong>r item which may affect residential usage is<strong>the</strong> possibility of installation of electric hot-water heaters as <strong>the</strong> costof propane gas increases.Small CommercialThe small commercial class consists of primarily small businesseswhich provide specific services to <strong>the</strong> area residents such as food,hardware, lumber, etc. The growth of small commercial consumers has seena ra<strong>the</strong>r consistent pattern since 1968 with <strong>the</strong> exception of a sharpincrease during 1976 <strong>and</strong> 1977. From all available in<strong>for</strong>mation, itappears that <strong>the</strong> Glennallen area will not suffer an economic letdown nowthat <strong>the</strong> pipeline is completed <strong>and</strong> growth of small commercial consumerswill continue. Although average monthly usage has shown a leveling trendsince 1975, this is expected to increase as more severe winter wea<strong>the</strong>rconditi~ns are anticipated <strong>and</strong> as <strong>the</strong> growth rate returns to a moreconsistent level.Street LightsIt was basically assumed that <strong>the</strong> number of street lights woulddouble over a lO-year period as normal growth occurred within <strong>the</strong> area.The average usage per installation is expected to remain at approximately<strong>the</strong> same number of hours each year.B-21

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