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Electrical Power for Valdez and the Copper River Basin-1981

Electrical Power for Valdez and the Copper River Basin-1981

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Table VIII-3AAverage Rate DeterminationAnchorage Portion of Rai1be1t System8% Discount RateLow Case 1 Case 2 Medium Case 1 Case 2 High Case 1Energy System System Energy System System Energy SystemYear Forecast Costs Costs Forecast Costs Costs Forecast Costs(GWH) (GWH)* * *(GWH)* *1985 3,433 84.1 84.1 4,329 187.6 187.6 6,849 317.01986 3,594 84.8 84.8 4,657 193.7 193.7 7~357 368.61987 3,754 141.0 141.0 4,985 233.0 233.0 7,864 375.01988 3,915 136.6 136.·6 5,313 231.9 231.9 8;372 454.81989 4,075 173.4 173.4 5,641 272.0 254.5 8,879 457.71990 4,285 175.0 175.0 6,063 274.2 293.8 9,589 463.31991 4,495 185.7 185.7 6,485 324.2 343.8 10,298 541.01992 4,705 223.3 223.3 6,907 387.5 409.9 11,008 606.21993 4,915 227.2 227.2 7,329 391. 7 414.1 11,717 615.21994 5,125 270.9 252.4 7,751 398.9 421.3 12,427 686.7~1995 5,385 306.6 290.2 8,311 463.7 486.1 13,477 778.6~1996 5,645 367.3 327.9 8,871 549.0 571.5 14,526 852.31997 5,904 369.4 389.8 9,431 615.9 578.7 15,576 927.71998 6,164 376.4 396.7 9,991 627.7 650.2 16,625 1,008.21999 6,424 457.2 397.9 10,551 694.4 657.2 17,675 1,102.62000 6,489 450.2 470.6 10,863 691.8 714.3 18,584 1,169.82001 6,555 452.1 472.5 11,175 698.6 721.1 19,493 1,187.82002 6,620 449.4 469.8 11,487 760.3 723.1 20,402 1,260.12003 6,686 452.3 472.8 11,799 767.9 789.8 21,311 1,339.92004 6,751 454.4 474.8 12,111 776.0 798.5 22,220 1,359.62005 6,817 517.1 477.8 12,423 864.0 807.1 23,129 1,460.32006 6,882 520.2 480.9 12,735 872.8 815.9 24,038 1,541.92007 6,948 523.3 484.0 12,047 881.9 904.4 24,947 1,564.32008 7,013 526.4 487.1 13,359 891.1 913.6 25,856 1.,647.02009 7,079 529.6 490.3 13,671 901.6 932.1 26,765 1,730.32010 7,144 532.9 493.6 13,983 969.9 932.7 27,674 . 1,754.5Average ~/kWh 5.3 5.2 5.7 5.7 5.7*Millions of dollars.Case 1 is without Anchorage to Fairbanks interconnection <strong>and</strong> without <strong>the</strong> Susitna hydro project.Case 2 is with <strong>the</strong> Anchorage to Fairbanks interconnection <strong>and</strong> without <strong>the</strong> Susitria hydro project.Case 3 is with both <strong>the</strong> interconnection <strong>and</strong> Susitna but is not shown because its costs are lower.The higher cost comparisons are adequate.Source: March 1979 Susitna <strong>Power</strong> Market Study - 0 percent inflation values.

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