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Electrical Power for Valdez and the Copper River Basin-1981

Electrical Power for Valdez and the Copper River Basin-1981

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Table V-IVALDEZ/GLENNALLEN AREA UTIUTY LOAD ESTIMATESEnpr~:z: (GWh)Glennallen <strong>Valdez</strong> TotalHistorical1976 13.3 26.0 39.31977 21.4 26.1 47.51978 20.4 23.4 43.81979 18.5 23.0 41.6GlennallenPeak Dem<strong>and</strong> (MW)<strong>Valdez</strong>3.5 4.94.3 4,94.0 4.8,3.5 4.2Total8.49.18.87.7-\0Forecast*1980 21.4 26.5 47.9<strong>1981</strong> 22.0 (28.2) 30.0** 52.01982 22.5 (30.0) 33.0** 55.519B3 26.0 (31.9) 35.0** 61.01984 27.7 (D.n 34.0** 61.71985 29.5 35.6 65.11986 31.4 37.6 69.1<strong>1981</strong> D.5 39.8 73.31988 35 .• 7 42.0 77.81989 38.1 44.4 82.51.990 40.6 46.9 87.51991 43.3 49.6 92.91992 46.1 52.4 98.61993 49.2 55.4 104.62000*** 70.0 80.0 150.04.4 5.44.7 (5.7) 6.1*'"4.9 (6.1) 6.7**5.2 (6.5) 7.1**5.5 (6.9) 7.0**5.8 7.36.2 7.76.6 8.16.9 8.67.4 9.17.8 9.68.2 10.28.7 10.89.2 11.414.0 16.09.810.811.512.412.513. 113.914.715.516.417.418.419.520.630.0Avera!le Annual Growth Rates (%)1910-1973 8.5 3.1 5.61973-1977 36.7 41.7 39.31977-1979 -6.0 -7.0 -6.41970-1979 16.2 16.3. 16.31980-1993 6.6 5.8 6.21993-2000 5.2 5.4 5.3Avera!!,e Load Factors54.3 (56.6)*4 54.1 (56.4)*457.8 55.857.1 57.154.1 (56. n*456.757.1* <strong>Copper</strong> Valley E1pctric Association Forecast from January 1980<strong>Power</strong> Cost Study.** Additions <strong>for</strong> ALPETCO facility have been included. Values in( ) are from original <strong>for</strong>ecast.*** APA extrapolation.*4 Average excluding pipeline construction impact.Alaska <strong>Power</strong> AdministrationApril 1980

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