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EXHIBIT 7 World Chip Market<br />

In million US$<br />

$25,000<br />

$20,000<br />

$15,000<br />

$10,000<br />

$5,000<br />

$0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Source: Euromonitor International (2008).<br />

Chips/crisps<br />

Tortilla/corn chips<br />

Pretzels<br />

Industry: Savory Snack<br />

The U.S. savory snack market is composed of over 400 companies with combined annual<br />

revenues of $23 billion. This industry is also highly concentrated with the top 50 companies<br />

controlling 75 percent of the market. The largest competitors in this industry include<br />

PepsiCo’s Frito-Lay (with 39 percent), Kraft’s Nabisco (with 11 percent), and Kellogg’s<br />

Retail Snacks division. By itself, the global chip market is over $32 billion, with an annual<br />

growth rate of approximately 6.35 percent (see Exhibit 7). This market is also driven by<br />

consumer taste and health considerations.<br />

The largest product segment of this market is potato chips (30 percent of industry<br />

revenues) followed by tortilla chips (20 percent) and bulk nuts (10 percent). The remainder<br />

of the market is composed of canned nuts, corn chips, peanut butter, popcorn, and<br />

hard pretzels. It is estimated that 99 percent of all American households have salty<br />

snacks and the average household spends approximately $80 yearly on 32 pounds of<br />

these products.<br />

Companies in this industry must compete against each other through extensive<br />

advertising, product promotions, and product innovation. As consumer tastes have<br />

changed, we have seen the introduction of products with less salt, sea salt, baked, zero<br />

trans fat, made of vegetables, low carb, organic, hot, sweet, black, green, and with chili or<br />

cheese added. Some of the new products are designed to compete on taste: others are<br />

designed to reflect a particular consumer concern such as obesity or hypertension.<br />

Industry: Breakfast Cereals<br />

The global breakfast foods market is composed of more than just cereals: it also includes<br />

bread, pastries, breakfast bars, and spreads. Bread is by far the largest segment of this market<br />

followed by pastries and then cereals. However, growth for bread is low at 1.6 percent,<br />

with pastries at 3.5 percent and cereals at 2.6 percent. The greatest growth for breakfast<br />

food appears to be in breakfast bars, and the fastest regional growth is the Asian-Pacific<br />

market. The largest markets continue to be Europe and America, but both are mature with<br />

low growth rates.<br />

PepsiCo is primarily in the U.S. breakfast cereal market with the Quaker division<br />

generating approximately 4 percent of total revenues, down from 5 percent in 2007 and<br />

2006. This market is a highly concentrated $9 billion market with the top four companies<br />

accounting for 80 percent of the market. The major competitors in this market are Kellogg<br />

and General Mills. Demand is driven by consumer demographics (age and lifestyle) and<br />

health considerations because a fast-paced life and health concerns shape our perceptions<br />

of the first meal of the day. Ready-to-eat cereals comprise about 90 percent of total industry<br />

revenue.<br />

CASE 24 • PEPSICO — 2009 239

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