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[8] 2002 e-business-strategies-for-virtual-organizations

[8] 2002 e-business-strategies-for-virtual-organizations

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e-Business Strategies <strong>for</strong> Virtual Organizations<br />

are, and they are industry specific and not yet fully apparent.<br />

For example, it will become apparent that e-<strong>business</strong> enables<br />

and requires new product capabilities and new services. This<br />

opens opportunities <strong>for</strong> those already in <strong>business</strong>, but equally<br />

opens the way <strong>for</strong> new entrants. The positions of current players<br />

are threatened, especially those who act as intermediaries.<br />

As a result we see a trend <strong>for</strong> e-<strong>business</strong> to bring producers<br />

closer to the consumer, leading to the reduced need <strong>for</strong><br />

intermediaries (wholesalers, distributors and the like). This<br />

trend toward disintermediation has been observed in the<br />

financial markets and is being followed by developments in the<br />

insurance and travel industry. Does this mean less employment?<br />

Probably not, but it does imply that different <strong>for</strong>ms of<br />

employment will prevail.<br />

On the other hand, we may also observe the opposite trend in<br />

action at the same time. There is a process of reintermediation<br />

occurring as e-<strong>business</strong> creates the possibility of new and<br />

different <strong>for</strong>ms of intermediary – the bookseller Amazon.com<br />

being the world’s largest and best known example. These very<br />

different opportunities and threats cannot be evaluated through<br />

simple cost – benefit analysis tools and present a significant<br />

challenge <strong>for</strong> investment and risk analysis.<br />

8.4 Return on investment and risk analysis<br />

172<br />

Some EC initiatives could be strong revenue generators but<br />

may not create new markets; others may create new markets<br />

but will not return a significant profit. Some may create a<br />

competitive advantage in the short term but lose this on the<br />

emergence of a new competitive initiative in e-<strong>business</strong>.<br />

Resources required to create additional value through<br />

e-<strong>business</strong> need to be examined with respect to their likely<br />

return on investment in order to develop a compelling <strong>business</strong><br />

case. This is not so simple as it sounds, however.<br />

Traditional measures such as discounted cash flow (DCF) and<br />

net present value (NPV) do not take into account the values of<br />

benefits such as knowledge of customer needs. Calculating any<br />

rate of return on investment (ROI) from e-<strong>business</strong> cases<br />

requires an assessment of increased revenue as well as<br />

decreased costs; customer value variables, stakeholder value<br />

variables and competitive capability variables. One approach<br />

suggested by Parker (1996) and referred to as in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

economics attempts to address some of these issues by classifying<br />

values and risks as (a) values: financial, strategic and

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