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The dissemination of divination in roman republican times

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Unexpected<br />

event<br />

Figure 6.3. Web <strong>of</strong> Causation for the <strong>dissem<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> and resilience <strong>of</strong><br />

omens<br />

Salient event<br />

To account for the <strong>dissem<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> oblative <strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong>, it is important to have a cultural<br />

model which functions like a constant prime <strong>in</strong> heighten<strong>in</strong>g the population’s sensitivity to the<br />

communicative potential <strong>of</strong> salient events. <strong>The</strong> trigger <strong>of</strong> an omen is a salient event. An event<br />

can become salient <strong>in</strong> one <strong>of</strong> three ways: either by the context <strong>of</strong> the current concern <strong>of</strong> a<br />

person, by the recognition <strong>of</strong> an event as one from a pre-exist<strong>in</strong>g catalogue <strong>of</strong> signs, or by the<br />

event be<strong>in</strong>g unexpected or attention demand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> itself. <strong>The</strong> basic motivation and the<br />

<strong>in</strong>terpretation is the same as <strong>in</strong> impetrative <strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong>. As <strong>in</strong> impetrative <strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> the direct<br />

prestige <strong>of</strong> the <strong>in</strong>terpreter will have an <strong>in</strong>fluence on the credibility <strong>of</strong> the <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

<strong>in</strong>terpreted from the omen.<br />

Catalogue <strong>of</strong><br />

signs<br />

Motivation<br />

Dissem<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> omens<br />

Current<br />

Concerns<br />

Credibility<br />

value<br />

Direct<br />

prestige<br />

Social hierarchy<br />

Distribution <strong>of</strong> prestige<br />

Cultural<br />

model<br />

<strong>The</strong>se are the stipulated factors for the two different k<strong>in</strong>ds <strong>of</strong> <strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong>, but we don’t know<br />

yet the relative importance <strong>of</strong> them. Neither do we know if they have any measurable<br />

consequences for the <strong>dissem<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> practices. This is why we will now turn to<br />

the empirical <strong>in</strong>vestigation <strong>of</strong> <strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> <strong>in</strong> the Roman Republic. However, first, it is<br />

necessary to dwell on the analytical procedure. In the preced<strong>in</strong>g chapters, we have identified<br />

a number <strong>of</strong> different factors that are stipulated to be important for the <strong>dissem<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> <strong>of</strong> a<br />

<strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> practice. Now let us look at how they can become empirically tractable to see<br />

whether the model for the <strong>dissem<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> and persistence <strong>of</strong> <strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> is accurate.<br />

Frequency <strong>of</strong><br />

communication<br />

about omens<br />

119

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