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The dissemination of divination in roman republican times

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<strong>The</strong> wide variety <strong>of</strong> <strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> techniques <strong>in</strong> the world suggests that there are other factors<br />

contribut<strong>in</strong>g to the judgments <strong>of</strong> credibility than ritualization, or to put it more pla<strong>in</strong>ly: there<br />

are many different k<strong>in</strong>ds <strong>of</strong> ritualized action, but they are not all considered equally credible.<br />

What other factors help to predict which <strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> techniques are more credible than others?<br />

Is it merely local cultural differences or are there also significant cognitive biases that make<br />

some types <strong>of</strong> <strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> techniques more likely to be thought <strong>of</strong> as credible?<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce the overall thesis is that <strong>div<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> through ritualization <strong>of</strong> action creates an<br />

<strong>in</strong>ference <strong>of</strong> another hidden <strong>in</strong>tentionality, such as a god 45 , it would be reasonable to assume<br />

that the focus <strong>of</strong> the technique is important. Human categorization is divided <strong>in</strong>to different<br />

ontological doma<strong>in</strong>s such as <strong>in</strong>tuitive psychology, <strong>in</strong>tuitive biology and <strong>in</strong>tuitive physics<br />

(Atran 1990; Bloom 2004; Keil 1979; Keil 1989). Although these doma<strong>in</strong>s are doma<strong>in</strong><br />

specific, <strong>in</strong>tuitive biology is closer to <strong>in</strong>tuitive psychology than <strong>in</strong>tuitive physics s<strong>in</strong>ce the<br />

former two share more features. Animals and humans both move by them selves and live and<br />

die, whereas that is not the case for stones. It would therefore be possible that techniques,<br />

with a focus on categories activat<strong>in</strong>g the doma<strong>in</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>tuitive psychology, would be more<br />

likely to facilitate an <strong>in</strong>ference <strong>of</strong> a hidden <strong>in</strong>tentionality than those activat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tuitive<br />

biology. <strong>The</strong>y would <strong>in</strong> turn be more likely than those imply<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tuitive physics.<br />

In order to test this possibility an experiment was designed along the same l<strong>in</strong>es as<br />

experiment 1. A fictive story was created where a person wants to f<strong>in</strong>d out the reason for his<br />

disease. He is faced with a choice between three different types <strong>of</strong> div<strong>in</strong>ers, <strong>of</strong> whom he can<br />

consult only one. <strong>The</strong> only significant difference between them is that they use different<br />

k<strong>in</strong>ds <strong>of</strong> ritual techniques activat<strong>in</strong>g assumptions from <strong>in</strong>tuitive psychology (ecstasy), biology<br />

(watch<strong>in</strong>g birds) or physics (listen<strong>in</strong>g to the w<strong>in</strong>d).<br />

Experiment 2<br />

Participants 40 participants, 17 male 23 female aged 16-20 (M=18.33, SD=1.3), 77.5 %<br />

from the western Copenhagen Region and 22.5% from Esbjerg at the west coast <strong>of</strong> Denmark.<br />

<strong>The</strong>y were primarily Christian protestant (49%) and Non-believers (44%). Other religious<br />

affiliations were 7%.<br />

45 Technically there is no difference between gods, spirits, souls and ancestors <strong>in</strong> the cognitive science <strong>of</strong><br />

religion s<strong>in</strong>ce what is important is their disembodied <strong>in</strong>tentionality.<br />

76

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