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Towards a Baltic Sea Region Strategy in Critical ... - Helsinki.fi

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CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE PROTECTION IN THE BALTIC SEA REGION<br />

Figure III—4 A low-level concept mapp<strong>in</strong>g of the consequences of realized threats.<br />

Nature of the Threats, Part I – Non-Human Factors<br />

Threats to a CII may orig<strong>in</strong>ate from a wide range of human or non-human factors,<br />

as illustrated <strong>in</strong> the concept map of Figure 5.<br />

Non-human factors are those whose result<strong>in</strong>g threats cannot be directly<br />

attributed to human actions. This <strong>in</strong>cludes the events briefly outl<strong>in</strong>ed below.<br />

I. Natural hazards<br />

Natural hazards have the potential to cause direct physical destruction to CII and<br />

CI <strong>in</strong> deployed the areas affected by the hazard, lead<strong>in</strong>g to widespread disruptions<br />

(common- cause failures). For CII, elements such as aboveground transmission<br />

l<strong>in</strong>es, poles, towers and telehous<strong>in</strong>g facilities, could be damaged by w<strong>in</strong>ter storms,<br />

forest <strong>fi</strong>res, earthquakes and so forth. Moreover, heavy downpours and flood<strong>in</strong>g<br />

could disrupt access holes and damage underground telecommunication cable<br />

plant. The average hazard <strong>in</strong>tensity class of past occurrences of various natural<br />

hazards <strong>in</strong> the BSR is shown <strong>in</strong> Table 2. 49 Additional <strong>in</strong>vestment would usually be<br />

required to re<strong>in</strong>force CII aga<strong>in</strong>st high-<strong>in</strong>tensity hazards. This requirement is further<br />

49 The average BSR hazard <strong>in</strong>tensity is loosely derived from hazard <strong>in</strong>tensity maps produced <strong>in</strong> the<br />

EU ESPON 2006 project 1.3.1 (Geological Survey of F<strong>in</strong>land 2006).<br />

90 NORDREGIO REPORT 2007:5

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