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Towards a Baltic Sea Region Strategy in Critical ... - Helsinki.fi

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CHAPTER V: GAS<br />

It is designed to supply western European countries such as Germany, the<br />

Netherlands and the United K<strong>in</strong>gdom with 55 billion cubic meters of natural gas<br />

annually, ma<strong>in</strong>ly obta<strong>in</strong>ed from the Shtokman gas <strong>fi</strong>eld <strong>in</strong> the Barents <strong>Sea</strong> (overall<br />

reserves have been estimated for 3.7 trillion tons).<br />

Gas Demand [bcm]<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

170<br />

187<br />

228<br />

512<br />

420<br />

302<br />

2005 2010 2015<br />

Domestic<br />

Production<br />

Netimport<br />

Figure V—2 Projection of gas demand <strong>in</strong> the EU.<br />

Accord<strong>in</strong>g to a basel<strong>in</strong>e scenario, the demand for natural gas is expected to<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease between 2005 and 2015 from 530 to 682 billion cubic meters, whereas the<br />

domestic production will decrease from 228 billion cubic meters <strong>in</strong> 2005 to 170<br />

billion cubic meters <strong>in</strong> 2015, creat<strong>in</strong>g an additional need to import 210 billion<br />

cubic meters natural gas <strong>in</strong> 2015. Nord Stream could provide about 25% of the<br />

natural gas needed (Nord Stream 2006a).<br />

Technical design<br />

The NEGP will have a total length of about 1,200 km, mak<strong>in</strong>g it one of the longest<br />

offshore pipel<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> the world. It will start from Portovaya Bay near Vyborg,<br />

Russia, and then run along of the <strong>Baltic</strong> seabed until it reaches its landfall <strong>in</strong><br />

Lubm<strong>in</strong>, near Greifswald, Germany. It will cross the Exclusive Economic Zones<br />

(EEZ) of <strong>fi</strong>ve countries: Russia, F<strong>in</strong>land, Sweden, Denmark and Germany (Nord<br />

Stream 2006a and 2007a). The NEGP will be laid <strong>in</strong> depths rang<strong>in</strong>g mostly from<br />

20 m to 100 m, be<strong>in</strong>g at deepest <strong>in</strong> 210 m.<br />

Accord<strong>in</strong>g to plans, there will be a service platform located <strong>in</strong> the Swedish<br />

EEZ, about 48 km east of the small island of Gotska Sandön, and 68 km northeast<br />

of the ma<strong>in</strong> island of Gotland. Service platform’s ma<strong>in</strong> functions are told to be<br />

commission<strong>in</strong>g support, operational support/ma<strong>in</strong>tenance of the pipel<strong>in</strong>es,<br />

provid<strong>in</strong>g flexibility <strong>in</strong> case of an operational problem and isolation <strong>in</strong> case any of<br />

the pipel<strong>in</strong>es are damaged. The platform will be unmanned, with the exception of<br />

temporary ma<strong>in</strong>tenance workers. The service platform will be about 40 m long by<br />

about 30 m wide, with the height of the ma<strong>in</strong> structure above the surface of the sea<br />

about 40 m. It will not be visible from any po<strong>in</strong>t on land. (Nord Stream 2007b)<br />

Accord<strong>in</strong>g to latest <strong>in</strong>formation from Nord Stream (2007a), the project<br />

preparation phase entered <strong>in</strong>to a detailed plann<strong>in</strong>g phase on 1 January 2007. The<br />

start of the ma<strong>in</strong> construction is scheduled for the third quarter of 2008 and will be<br />

f<strong>in</strong>alised <strong>in</strong> 2010. The second l<strong>in</strong>e is expected to operate <strong>in</strong> 2012.<br />

NORDREGIO REPORT 2007:5 169

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