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Microseismic Monitoring and Geomechanical Modelling of CO2 - bris

Microseismic Monitoring and Geomechanical Modelling of CO2 - bris

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7.3. RESULTS FROM SIMPLE GEOMECHANICAL MODELS<br />

1.) In the center <strong>of</strong> the<br />

reservoir, the horizontal<br />

stresses increase equally. No<br />

anisotropy develops.<br />

2.) The edges <strong>of</strong> the reservoir<br />

can push into the sideburden,<br />

opening cracks parallel to the<br />

edge. Anisotropy develops with<br />

fast direction parallel to the<br />

edge.<br />

3.) Outside the reservoir, the force from<br />

the exp<strong>and</strong>ing reservoir closes cracks<br />

parallel to the edge. This leave cracks<br />

perpendicular to the edge. Anisotropy<br />

develops with fast direction<br />

perpendicular to the edge.<br />

Figure 7.3: Cartoon depicting the horizontal stress redistribution around an exp<strong>and</strong>ing reservoir,<br />

demonstrating the SWS patterns seen in Figure 7.2. The red dashes indicate the resulting SWS<br />

pattern.<br />

by the expansion <strong>of</strong> the reservoir, increasing the horizontal stress perpendicular to the reservoir edge.<br />

As a result, the fast direction is orientated perpendicular to the reservoir.<br />

The maximum splitting magnitude modelled here is below 1%. Even a splitting magnitude <strong>of</strong><br />

1% may be hard to detect given that the maximum raypath length for a vertical wave through the<br />

anisotropic region is 75m. Therefore the splitting modelled here is at the limits <strong>of</strong> detectability.<br />

Additionally, in Chapters 3 <strong>and</strong> 4 I found that when inverting for anisotropy using splitting from<br />

microseismic events it is difficult to resolve more than one anisotropic fabric. Therefore detecting<br />

different regions <strong>of</strong> anisotropy with orthogonally polarised fast direction will be very challenging.<br />

Nevertheless, in Chapter 6 (Figure 6.9) I noted that the rock physics model does tend to underestimate<br />

splitting. Furthermore, the presence <strong>of</strong> fractures could serve to amplify the amount <strong>of</strong> splitting<br />

induced by stress changes. Additionally, while splitting <strong>of</strong> microseismic events might not be able<br />

to resolve adjacent anisotropic fabrics, splitting <strong>of</strong> 9C controlled source seismic data, or Amplitude<br />

Variation with Offset <strong>and</strong> Azimuth (AVOA), may be able to image such fabrics.<br />

This SWS pattern has been generated because there is a discontinuous edge between where pressure<br />

is increasing <strong>and</strong> where it is not. Therefore, these prediction have a limited applicability, because in<br />

reality reservoirs are <strong>of</strong>ten not bounded in this manner. Nevertheless, a sealing vertical fault would<br />

generate the kind <strong>of</strong> edge around which the modelled splitting pattern could develop. Such a feature<br />

would be <strong>of</strong> great importance for storage security, as an undetected sealing fault would prevent the<br />

dispersion <strong>of</strong> both the injected CO 2 <strong>and</strong> also the pressure wave through the target reservoir. We have<br />

seen that small reservoirs (or the equivalent, such as a compartmentalised large reservoir) are prone<br />

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