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Microseismic Monitoring and Geomechanical Modelling of CO2 - bris

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3.4. SWS MEASUREMENTS AT WEYBURN<br />

ξ 1 α 1 ξ 2 α 2 γ δ<br />

Inversion for 1 fracture set 0.14 138 ◦ NA NA 0.03 0.0<br />

Inversion for 2 fracture sets 0.3 150 ◦ 0.21 42 ◦ NA NA<br />

From Brown (2002) 1.0 - 1.6 m −1 148 ◦ 2.3 - 3.8 m −1 40 ◦ NA NA<br />

Table 3.3: Results for the inversion <strong>of</strong> Weyburn SWS measurements assuming 1 <strong>and</strong> then 2 fracture<br />

sets are present. I also give the results <strong>of</strong> core <strong>and</strong> borehole analysis at Weyburn provided by<br />

Brown (2002). The fracture densities in this study are given by Hudson (1981)’s non-dimensional<br />

fracture density term, but in Brown (2002) they are written as the number <strong>of</strong> fractures per meter<br />

<strong>of</strong> rock.<br />

separate fully. The presence <strong>of</strong> P-wave coda arriving coincident with the S-wave will contaminate the<br />

SWS analysis, leading to unreliable results. Although it is common practise to include only the class<br />

A results in analysis, the lack <strong>of</strong> good quality events means that I include class A <strong>and</strong> B events in the<br />

subsequent discussions.<br />

The events recorded during Phase IB are located at reservoir depths, <strong>and</strong> occur between December<br />

2003 <strong>and</strong> July 2004. The events recorded during Phase II occur above the reservoir during October<br />

2005. Given their differing temporal <strong>and</strong> spatial distributions, I will analyse the Phase IB <strong>and</strong> II<br />

results separately.<br />

3.4.3 Phase IB<br />

I invert the 30 successful SWS measurements from Phase IB, assuming a VTI fabric <strong>and</strong> one set <strong>of</strong><br />

fractures. The results are plotted in Figure 3.9 <strong>and</strong> the best fit results are listed in Table 3.3. The<br />

inversion suggests that there is little VTI, <strong>and</strong> images a fracture set striking at 138 ◦ (NW-SE) with a<br />

density ξ=0.14. When we consider the RMS misfit surface in Figure 3.9, the 90% confidence interval<br />

is large, suggesting that the inversion has not found a particularly well constrained result.<br />

Core analysis <strong>and</strong> borehole image logs at Weyburn have imaged the presence <strong>of</strong> aligned fracture<br />

sets in the Weyburn reservoir (Bunge, 2000; Brown, 2002). Two <strong>of</strong> the fracture sets identified by<br />

these studies are listed in Table 3.3. These sets have strikes <strong>of</strong> 40 ◦ <strong>and</strong> 148 ◦ , with the set at 40 ◦<br />

being the more pervasive. However, our SWS inversion has identified the apparently weaker set at<br />

138 ◦ . One reason for this may be the geometry <strong>of</strong> the arrivals available to conduct the inversion. My<br />

initial interpretation was that perhaps although the NE-SW set had a greater fracture density when<br />

unstressed core samples were considered, stress evolution during production has kept this set closed<br />

at depth, while opening the NW-SE set, making it more ‘visible’ to the shear waves.<br />

An alternative explanation for why the supposedly stronger NE-SW fracture set is not imaged<br />

can be provided by synthetic models. To test this possibility I generated an elastic model containing<br />

two vertical fracture sets aligned orthogonally with strikes NW-SE <strong>and</strong> NE-SW, as observed from<br />

Weyburn cores. I assign a higher fracture density to the NE-SW set, as is believed to be the case<br />

at Weyburn. I then perform a synthetic inversion using the range <strong>of</strong> arrivals observed in the real<br />

45

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