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Untitled - Ministerstwo Rozwoju Regionalnego

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17.2. World seaborne trade and the merchant fleet<br />

The volume of global trade flow shipped by sea is gradually but regularly growing<br />

reaching 6.9 billion tonnes by the end of 2006. Estimates for the end of 2008<br />

put the trade volume at 7.5 billion tonnes. A favourable factor for world trade<br />

development is the progressing globalisation and liberalisation, which contribute<br />

to market development, and create opportunities for developing countries,<br />

with their relatively modern engineering and technological solutions, to join in<br />

international trade.<br />

Global trade growth rate for oil cargoes is assumed to reach 2.9% in 2007 and<br />

3.1% in 2008, with dry bulk cargo figures 4.0% and 3.5%, respectively.<br />

Growth of shipped volumes is noted in all cargo groups. In 2006, compared<br />

with 2005 liquid bulk cargo volumes grew by 2.3% and dry bulk cargoes by<br />

6.8%. Shipment of general cargo and containerised cargo grew by 5.7% (see Table<br />

36).<br />

Growing oil shipments resulted mainly from the rising demand for oil from<br />

other than OECD countries. Russia has become the leader in oil production (9.4<br />

billion barrels per day in 2006).<br />

When it comes to group of countries, the clear leaders in oil production are<br />

the OPEC countries (29.5 billion barrels per day in 2006). Angola, which is a new<br />

OPEC member, plans to increase its oil output by 0.25 billion barrels per day in<br />

2007 2 .<br />

Table 36. Global seaborne trade in 1990, 1995, and 2000-2008 (in billion tonnes)<br />

Year Crude oil<br />

Oil<br />

products<br />

Iron ore Coal Grain<br />

Bauxite<br />

and<br />

alumina<br />

Phosphates<br />

Other<br />

cargo<br />

1990 1190 336 347 342 192 52 35 1438 3932<br />

1995 1415 381 402 423 196 50 30 1815 4712<br />

2000 1608 419 454 523 230 53 28 2280 5595<br />

2001 1592 425 452 565 234 51 29 2305 5653<br />

2002 1588 414 484 570 245 54 30 2435 5820<br />

2003 1673 440 524 619 240 63 29 2545 6133<br />

2004 1754 461 589 664 236 68 31 2690 6493<br />

2005 1784 495 652 710 251 73 31 2666 6662<br />

2006 1814 517 711 755 262 75 31 2818 6982<br />

2008 1917 555 789 821 280 82 31 3033 7507<br />

Source: Review 2006. Fearnleys Annual Review. Fearnresearch 2007. Oslo 2007, p. 49.<br />

2 Review 2006. Fearnleys’ Annual Review. Fearnresearch 2007. Oslo 2007, p. 9.<br />

270<br />

Total

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