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Untitled - Ministerstwo Rozwoju Regionalnego

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Table 41. The most likely growth scenario of transport operations in EU-25 between 2000-2020<br />

GDP 52%<br />

Cargo transport total 50%<br />

Passenger transport total 35%<br />

Road freight 55%<br />

Railway freight 13%<br />

Short-see shipping 59%<br />

Inland navigation 28%<br />

Private car use 36%<br />

Railway passenger transport 19%<br />

Air transport 108%<br />

Source: Communication from the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament entitled Keep Europe<br />

moving - Sustainable mobility for our continent. Mid-term review of the European Commission’s White Paper on<br />

transport 2001, COM(2006) 314, 22.06.2006, p.30.<br />

The main challenge for the transport policy decision makers is to manage<br />

the sector in such a way as to maximize the benefits at minimum costs. There is<br />

a lot to do in the area of optimization of demand for both passenger and cargo<br />

304<br />

ENABLES<br />

Transport services<br />

• Enable mobility of people<br />

and goods<br />

• Improve accessibility of<br />

workplaces, schools etc.<br />

HINDERS<br />

Economic growth<br />

• Growth of industrial<br />

output<br />

• Growth of disposable<br />

income<br />

• Growth of consumption<br />

Economic and<br />

environmental effects<br />

• Emissions (conventional<br />

and GHGs)<br />

• Congestion<br />

• Transport accidents<br />

• Acoustic climate, etc.<br />

CAUSES<br />

Impact of transport<br />

• Increased number<br />

of travels<br />

• Growth in car use<br />

• Changes in modal split<br />

• Increased urbanization<br />

CREATES<br />

Fig. 58. How transport interacts with economy and society<br />

Source: Mobility 2030: Meeting the challenges to sustainability, Full Report 2004, WBCSD 2004.

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