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preface to fifteenth edition

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GENERAL INFORMATION, CONVERSION TABLES, AND MATHEMATICS 2.123<br />

The standard deviation may be estimated by calculating the standard deviation s drawn from a<br />

small sample set as follows:<br />

q<br />

N<br />

(xi x) 2<br />

2 2 2<br />

i1 1 2 1 2<br />

q<br />

x x ··· [(x x ···) ]/N<br />

s or s <br />

N N 1<br />

(2.12)<br />

where xi<br />

x represents the deviation of each number in the array from the arithmetic mean. Since<br />

two pieces of information, namely s and x, have been extracted from the data, we are left with<br />

N 1 degrees of freedom (df); that is, independent data points available for measurement of precision.<br />

If a relatively large sample of data corresponding <strong>to</strong> N 30 is available, its mean can be<br />

taken as a measure of , and s as equal <strong>to</strong> .<br />

So basic is the notion of a statistical estimate of a physical parameter that statisticians use Greek<br />

letters for the parameters and Latin letters for the estimates. For many purposes, one uses the<br />

variance, which for the sample is s 2 and for the entire populations is 2 . The variance s 2 of a finite<br />

sample is an unbiased estimate of 2 , whereas the standard deviation s is not an unbiased estimate<br />

of .<br />

Because the standard deviation for the universe is a characteristic of the measuring procedure,<br />

it is possible <strong>to</strong> get a good estimate not only from a long series of repeated analyses of the same<br />

sample, but also by taking <strong>to</strong>gether several short series measured with slightly different samples of<br />

the same type. When a series of observations can be logically arranged in<strong>to</strong> k subgroups, the variance<br />

is calculated by summing the squares of the deviations for each subgroup, and then adding all the<br />

k sums and dividing by N k because one degree of freedom is lost in each subgroup. It is not<br />

required that the number of repeated analyses in the different groups be the same. For two groups<br />

of observations consisting of N A and N B members of standard deviations s A and s B , respectively, the<br />

variance is given by:<br />

2 2<br />

(NA 1)sA (NB 1)s<br />

2<br />

B<br />

s (2.13)<br />

N N 2<br />

A<br />

Another measure of dispersion is the coefficient of variation, which is merely the standard deviation<br />

expressed as a fraction of the arithmetic mean, viz., s/x. It is useful mainly <strong>to</strong> show whether<br />

the relative or the absolute spread of values is constant as the values are changed.<br />

B<br />

2.3.6 Student’s Distribution or t Test<br />

In the next several sections, the theoretical distributions and tests of significance will be examined<br />

beginning with Student’s distribution or t test. If the data contained only random (or chance) errors,<br />

the cumulative estimates x and s would gradually approach the limits and . The distribution of<br />

results would be normally distributed with mean and standard deviation . Were the true mean<br />

of the infinite population known, it would also have some symmetrical type of distribution centered<br />

around . However, it would be expected that the dispersion or spread of this dispersion about the<br />

mean would depend on the sample size.<br />

The standard deviation of the distribution of means equals /N 1/2 . Since is not usually known,<br />

its approximation for a finite number of measurements is overcome by the Student t test. It is a<br />

measure of error between and x. The Student t takes in<strong>to</strong> account both the possible variation of<br />

the value of x from on the basis of the expected variance 2 /N 1/2 and the reliability of using s in<br />

place of . The distribution of the statistic is:<br />

x <br />

ts<br />

t or x (2.14)<br />

s/ pN pN

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