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Strategic Panorama 2009 - 2010 - IEEE

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Vicente Garrido Rebolledo<br />

nuclear facilities not subject to IAEA safeguards, namely Israel, India and<br />

Pakistan—which remain reluctant to do so to this day).<br />

The second priority was the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons, as<br />

proliferation seriously increases the danger of a nuclear war. «Every effort<br />

should be made to implement the Treaty in all its aspects to prevent the<br />

proliferation of nuclear weapons and other nuclear explosive devices,<br />

without hampering the peaceful uses of nuclear energy by States parties<br />

to the Treaty».<br />

The third was to achieve nuclear disarmament in a broad sense. The<br />

nuclear-weapon states reaffirmed their commitment, as stated in article VI<br />

of the NPT, to pursue in good faith negotiations on effective measures relating<br />

to nuclear disarmament. To ensure the full and effective enforcement<br />

of this article an action plan was adopted (constituting the essence of the<br />

decision on the P&Os), based in turn on five progressive measures beginning<br />

with the negotiation and entry into force of a Comprehensive Nuclear<br />

Test Ban Treaty no later than 1996 (finally adopted on 10 September<br />

1996 but not yet in force owing, among other things, to the failure of the<br />

United States, Israel, India and Pakistan to ratify it (34)). As of December<br />

<strong>2009</strong>, the CTBT had been signed by 181 states and ratified by 150 (31<br />

of the 44 states necessary for the definitive entry into force of the Treaty<br />

have signed but not yet ratified it). The second priority was the immediate<br />

commencement of negotiations leading to the prompt adoption of a nondiscriminatory<br />

and universally applicable Fissile Material Cutoff Treaty<br />

banning the production of fissile material for nuclear weapons or other<br />

nuclear explosive devices (FMCT or Fissban)(35). Lastly, a commitment<br />

was sought from the five de iure nuclear-weapon states (P-5) to make systematic<br />

and progressive efforts to reduce nuclear weapons globally, with<br />

the ultimate goal of completely eliminating them, and to promote general<br />

and complete disarmament under strict and effective international control.<br />

(34) On the CTBT see GARRIDO REBOLLEDO, V., «Pruebas Nucleares: Punto y final» in<br />

Anuario del CIP 1996-1997, Icaria, Barcelona, 1997, pp. 347-359.<br />

(35) «Fissionable» refers to any material with atoms capable of undergoing nuclear fission.<br />

«Fissile» applies to materials which are fissionable by neutrons with zero kinetic energy.<br />

«Fissile» is thus more restrictive than «fissionable»—although all fissile materials are fissionable,<br />

not all fissionable materials are fissile. Uranium-238 (U-238) is fissionable but<br />

not fissile. Neutrons produced by fission of U-235 have an energy of around 1 MeV (100<br />

TJ/kg, i.e. a speed of 14.000 km/s) and cannot fission U-238, but neutrons produced<br />

by deuterium-tritium fusion have an energy of 14.1 MeV (1400 TJ/kg, i.e. a speed of<br />

52,000 km/s) and can effectively fission uranium-238 and other non-fissile actinides. The<br />

neutrons produced by this fission are again not fast enough to produce new fissions, so<br />

U-238 does not sustain a chain reaction.<br />

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