Strategic Panorama 2009 - 2010 - IEEE

INDEX
Page
CONTENTS ........................................................................................ 7
INTRODUCTION ................................................................................ 11
Chapter I
THE GLOBAL RECESSION AND ITS IMPACT ON INTERNATIONAL
ECONOMIC RELATIONS
Introduction ......................................................................................... 35
The Global Recession: What Stage are We at? ................................. 37
– Growth forecasts and risks ............................................................. 37
– The protectionist temptation ........................................................... 40
Open Debates ..................................................................................... 43
– Exit strategies .................................................................................. 43
– Deficit, debt and future growth ....................................................... 44
– Dollar-euro rivalry for global monetary leadership .......................... 48
Changes in the International Economic Order ................................... 50
– The return of the nation state and the rise of the G-20 .................. 51
– Reform of the International Monetary Fund .................................... 54
Implications for the European Union .................................................. 60
Chapter II
CLIMATE CHANGE AND ITS SECURITY IMPLICATIONS
Introduction ......................................................................................... 65
Current Situation of Climate Change ................................................. 66
– Climate change detected ................................................................ 66
– Observed impacts on natural and human environments ................ 68
– Projected climate change ............................................................... 69
– Expected impacts on natural and human environments ................ 73
– Fresh water resources and management .................................... 74
– Ecosystems .................................................................................. 74
– Food and forest products ............................................................ 74
– Coastal systems and low-lying areas .......................................... 75
– Health .......................................................................................... 75
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