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Strategic Panorama 2009 - 2010 - IEEE

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Climate change and its security implications<br />

As to other key mitigation measures, the following should be stressed:<br />

• Advanced nuclear energy; advanced renewable energies, including<br />

tidal and wave power, concentrated solar energy and photovoltaic<br />

solar energy.<br />

• More efficient aircraft; advanced hybrid and electric vehicles with<br />

safer and more powerful batteries.<br />

• Integrated design for commercial buildings, including technologies<br />

such as high-tech meters providing feedback and control; photovoltaic<br />

solar energy incorporated into buildings.<br />

• Advanced energy efficiency; CCS for the production of cement,<br />

ammoniac and iron; inert electrodes for aluminium production.<br />

• Improved crop yields.<br />

• Green roofs and filters to optimise the oxidation of CH4.<br />

There is high confidence that neither adaptation nor mitigation alone<br />

can prevent all the impacts of climate change. Adaptation is necessary,<br />

in both the short and the long term, to address the impacts that warming<br />

would cause, even in the more modest stabilisation scenarios envisaged.<br />

There are obstacles, limits and costs that are not fully known. Adaptation<br />

and mitigation may be complementary and can jointly bring about a sizeable<br />

reduction in the risks posed by climate change.<br />

The United Nations conference on climate change held in Copenhagen<br />

in December <strong>2009</strong> was intended as the culmination of two years of international<br />

negotiations. It was convened with the intention that the international<br />

community would come up with a global commitment to combat<br />

climate change as a follow-on from the Kyoto protocol, which expires in<br />

2102 and to which major contaminators like the United States and China<br />

are not parties. However, it ended up as merely a minimum agreement<br />

between the 119 participating heads of state and government. The text of<br />

the agreement establishes that climate change is one of the major challenges<br />

of our time, that temperature increase should be under two degrees<br />

and that emissions should reach a ceiling as soon as possible - and all<br />

this will supposedly be achieved with voluntary emission reduction targets<br />

which the countries will submit by February <strong>2010</strong>. The developed countries<br />

are thus committed to submitting emission reduction targets by that<br />

date. These reductions and the financing for developing countries will be<br />

declared, measured and verified by the UN.<br />

Europe was confident that the United States’ commitment would meet<br />

the announced expectations, with reductions of between 26% and 33%,<br />

— 90 —

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