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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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Catalogue of Chinese Earthquakes (M 2 6.5) 1274.2. From Table 2, it can be seen that after careful revision <strong>the</strong> magnitudes ofsome strong earthquakes differ greatly <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir previously adopted values. Forexample: for <strong>the</strong> August 22, 1902 Xinjiang earthquake, <strong>the</strong> Ms calculated usingdata <strong>from</strong> Gutenberg's worksheet was 8.2. After calibration, it was revised to 7.7.The epicenter of <strong>the</strong> August 31, 1902 Xinjiang earthquake was redetermined. Accordingto Gutenberg's worksheet, its Ms is 7.4. Abe (1983a) changed it to 7.0 bycorrecting <strong>the</strong> effective amplification of <strong>the</strong> undamped seismograph, and later hefur<strong>the</strong>r revised it to 6.8, which agrees well with <strong>the</strong> revised magnitude of USSR.The magnitude of <strong>the</strong> August 30, 1904 Sichuan earthquake was estimated to be 6<strong>from</strong> macroseismic observations. By using <strong>the</strong> data of Gutenberg's worksheet and10 o<strong>the</strong>r stations, Ms = 7.5 was obtained. It was fur<strong>the</strong>r revised to 6.8 after calibration.In addition, <strong>the</strong> epicenter determined <strong>from</strong> instrumental data is 1" away <strong>from</strong><strong>the</strong> macroseismic location. The calculated Ms for <strong>the</strong> December 23, 1906 Xinjiangearthquake was 7.9. After calibration, it was reduced to 7.2. The magnitude of <strong>the</strong>December 21, 1913 Yunnan earthquake was estimated to be between 62 and 7 <strong>from</strong>macroseismic observations in 1971 and 1983 editions of <strong>the</strong> Catalogue of ChineseEarthquakes respectively. The result of our calculation based upon instrumentaldata is Ms = 7$, which is very close to Abe's revised magnitude of 7.2. In <strong>the</strong>two editions of <strong>the</strong> Chinese catalogues, <strong>the</strong> magnitude of <strong>the</strong> July 31, 1917 Yunnanearthquake (<strong>the</strong> instrumentally determined epicenter is at Sichuan) was givenbetween 6; and 6: respectively. Abe corrected it to 7.5. According to <strong>the</strong> data<strong>from</strong> several seismic stations, we obtained Ms = 74. Similar circumstances existfor <strong>the</strong> Taiwan earthquakes, although <strong>the</strong> correction is less. As <strong>the</strong> instrumentaldata increased gradually after 1918, such large corrections of magnitude becamerare. However, <strong>the</strong> accuracy and reliability were improved through careful revision.For example: <strong>the</strong> magnitude of <strong>the</strong> May 23, 1927 Gansu earthquake was taken as8.0 by Gutenberg. Among <strong>the</strong> magnitudes calculated by using formula (1) <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong>data of 15 stations, only one attained 8.1, with all <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rs lower than 8. Theaverage value is 7.8, near Abe's value of 7.9. We revised it to 7.9. Based upon <strong>the</strong>data of 10 seismic stations, we revised <strong>the</strong> magnitudes of <strong>the</strong> two August 1, 1937Shandong earthquakes to 6.8 and 6.7 respectively by using formula (3).4.3. During <strong>the</strong> period <strong>from</strong> 1900 to 1948, <strong>the</strong> number of stations was insufficient,<strong>the</strong> seismogram quality was poor, <strong>the</strong> station distribution was not optimal, and<strong>the</strong> data collected were insufficient. The fact that <strong>the</strong> frequency-magnitude curve(Figure 7) bends below Ms = 6.5 indicates that many earthquakes with magnitudesless than 6.5 were not recorded. The b-value for <strong>the</strong> straight line portion of <strong>the</strong> curveis 0.84. It is close to <strong>the</strong> value b = 0.90 f 0.02 obtained by Gutenberg for worldwideshallow shocks, but differs greatly <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> value given in Report of Seismic Zoningof China (State Seismological Bureau, 1982).4.4. Figure 8 shows <strong>the</strong> variation in annual frequency, energy and cumulative strainrelease for earthquakes with M 2 6.5. Obviously, <strong>the</strong> seismicity had a maximum in1920, when <strong>the</strong> Ms = 8.6 Haiyuan earthquake and <strong>the</strong> Ms = 8.0 Taiwan earthquakeoccurred. The year 1902 was <strong>the</strong> next largest and includes <strong>the</strong> Ms = 7.7 Atush,Xinjiang shock. In addition, <strong>the</strong>re are small jumps in <strong>the</strong> years 1906, 1927, 1931,and 1947.

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