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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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Earthquakes and Deep Fracture Zones an Ecuador 369It appears that in convergent plate margins with high seismicity a relatively shorttime sample of contemporary seismic activity is sufficient for defining <strong>the</strong> morphologyof <strong>the</strong> Wadati-Benioff zone and for delineating seismically active fracture zones.However, historical earthquake observations are indispensable for an objective estimationof seismic hazard distribution because <strong>the</strong>y enable us to determine <strong>the</strong>probability of occurrence of disastrous earthquakes and <strong>the</strong> relative degree of earthquakedanger of individual fracture zones.The historical data also reveal that in Ecuador <strong>the</strong> seismic hazard connected withactive fracture zones in <strong>the</strong> continental plate is much higher than <strong>the</strong> hazard causedby earthquakes located in <strong>the</strong> subduction zone, in spite of <strong>the</strong> fact that two thirdsof earthquakes, as recorded by <strong>the</strong> world network of seismic stations, occur in <strong>the</strong>subduction zone.ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSThe present work was completed in <strong>the</strong> framework of <strong>the</strong> scientific cooperationprogramme between <strong>the</strong> Escuela Politdcnica Nacional, Quito, and <strong>the</strong> CzechoslovakAcademy of Sciences. We are indebted to P. Duque and M. Hall for support andstimulating discussions.REFERENCESBarazangi, M. and B.L. Isacks (1979). Subduction of <strong>the</strong> Nazca plate beneath Peru:evidence <strong>from</strong> spatial distribution of earthquakes, Geophys. J. Roy. Astron. Sot., 57,537-555.Egred, J., V. Caceres, and W. Costa (1984). Catilogo de intensidadee de 10s sismosprincipales del Ecuador. Proyecto SISRA, Escuela Polit&cnica Nacional, Quito.HanuS, V., and J. VanEk (1987a). Morphology of <strong>the</strong> Wadati-Benioff zone and volcanismin Ecuador and nor<strong>the</strong>rn Peru. Geofisica Internacional, (in print).Hand, V., and J. Vangk (1987b). Deep seismically active fracture zones in Ecuador andnor<strong>the</strong>rn Peru. Studia Geoph. Geod., S(1).Martelly, J. (1952). Une mbthode d’kvaluation de la profondeur de l’hypocentre. Applicationau tremblement de terre de Pelileo (Ecuador, 1949). Bureau Central Seism. Inf.,Trav. Sci. A18, 167-182.Preliminary Determination of Epicenters (1981-83). U. S. Geol. Suru., Nut. Earthq. Inform.Service, Denver, CO.Ramirez, J. E. (1975). Historia de 10s terremotos en Colombia. Instituto GeogrificoAgustin Codazzi.Regional Catalogue of Earthquakes (1964-80). Id. Seism. Centre, Edinburgh and Newbury.Stauder, W. (1975). Subduction of <strong>the</strong> Nazca plate under Peru as evidenced by focalmechanisms and by seismicity, J. Geophys. Res.,80, 1053-1064.

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