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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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152 Tokuji UtsuThe first version of <strong>the</strong> new catalog was published in 1979 (Utsu, 1979), to whichsome corrections and additions were made in 1982 (Utsu, 1982a). The revisedcatalog is reproduced in Table 1 in a simplified form. In <strong>the</strong> original form, <strong>the</strong>accuracy of epicenter and magnitude determination is indicated by using variousnotations, but <strong>the</strong>se are neglected in Table 1 to save space. The last column ofTable 1 (headed D) gives <strong>the</strong> degree of damage as judged by <strong>the</strong> following criteria:0 - No damage.1 - Slight damage (cracks on walls and ground).2 - Light damage (broken houses, road, etc.).3 - 2-19 persons killed or 2-999 houses totally destroyed.4 - 20-199 persons killed.5 - 200-1999 persons killed.6 - <strong>2000</strong>-19,999 persons killed.7 - 20,000 or more persons killed.x - Damage inseparable <strong>from</strong> that caused by <strong>the</strong> previous earthquake.In compiling <strong>the</strong> new catalog, I intended to include all earthquakes of M 2 6which were felt in Japan and all earthquakes which caused damage in Japan."Japan" means <strong>the</strong> present territory of Japan. Table 1 contains 534 felt earthquakesof M > 6 and 178 damaging earthquakes of which 63 have magnitudesbelow 6.0. In addition, if unfelt earthquakes are found in <strong>the</strong> area enclosed by <strong>the</strong>solid lines in Figure 2 (hereafter called region A), <strong>the</strong>y are included in <strong>the</strong> catalog.Only two earthquakes are in this category. In total, Table 1 lists 599 earthquakes.3. Seismicity of Japan for <strong>the</strong> Past 100 YearsIt is easy to compile a similar catalog for <strong>the</strong> years <strong>from</strong> 1926 to <strong>the</strong> present,since <strong>the</strong> hypocenters and magnitudes of earthquakes which occurred <strong>from</strong> 1926through 1960 were redetermined by <strong>the</strong> JMA (JMA, 1982). The focal parametersof earthquakes in and after 1961 have been published in monthly bulletins of JMA.By using <strong>the</strong> catalogs of JMA, Gutenberg and Richter (1954), ISS, ISC, etc., I haveextended <strong>the</strong> present catalog to <strong>the</strong> end of 1984. Thus <strong>the</strong> extended catalog coversjust 100 years <strong>from</strong> 1885 through 1984. A total of 1812 earthquakes are listed inthis catalog. Table 2 lists <strong>the</strong> number of earthquakes classified according to <strong>the</strong>damage rating.Figures 2 and 3 show <strong>the</strong> distribution of seismicity for <strong>the</strong> past 100 years in spaceand time, respectively. Data on deep earthquakes (h 2 100 km) before 1900 are notplotted because of insufficiency of <strong>the</strong> data.Figure 4 shows <strong>the</strong> magnitude-frequency relation for shallow earthquakes. Fourformulas representing <strong>the</strong> relation have been fitted to <strong>the</strong> data using <strong>the</strong> maximumlikelihood method (Utsu, 1984). The straight line G indicates <strong>the</strong> well-knownGutenberg-Richter formula (b = 0.94). The three curves U, L, and M indicate <strong>the</strong>following formulas :log n = a - bM + log (c - M )In N = A - B exp (a M)log N = A + log (c - M )Utsu (1971)Lomnitz-Adler and Lomnitz (1979)equivalent to MakjaniC (1980)

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