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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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THE ANATOLIAN EARTHQUAKE OF 17 AUGUST 1668N. N. Ambraseys and C. F. FinkelDept. of Civil Engineering, Imperial College of Science and TechnologyLondon S W7 lBU, England, UK1. IntroductionOne of <strong>the</strong> largest earthquakes associated with <strong>the</strong> North Anatolian fault zoneoccurred on 17 August 1668, causing heavy damage within a narrow band about100 km wide and 600 km long, running along <strong>the</strong> fault zone <strong>from</strong> Bolu in <strong>the</strong>west to near Erzincan in <strong>the</strong> east (see Figure 1). Virtually one-third of <strong>the</strong> entireknown length of <strong>the</strong> individual fault zone broke during this one shock, an eventsomewhat analagous to <strong>the</strong> 1939 Erzincan earthquake of magnitude 7.7 associatedwith a 350 km fault rupture in <strong>the</strong> same zone between Amasya and Erzincan.The great length of <strong>the</strong> epicentral region and <strong>the</strong> associated fault-breaks providean illustration of <strong>the</strong> very large magnitude of <strong>the</strong> earthquake of 1668, which waspreceded by widely-felt damaging foreshocks at its western end, and was followedby aftershocks that continued for six months. This earthquake was <strong>the</strong> largest lastevent of a series which affected Anatolia for almost six centuries, and was mostprobably responsible for <strong>the</strong> relative quiescence of <strong>the</strong> fault zone that has ensuedfor almost two and a half centuries.Existing earthquake catalogues for Anatolia are very incomplete for <strong>the</strong> periodbefore about 1930, and of little value for <strong>the</strong> study of <strong>the</strong> long-term seismicityof <strong>the</strong> region. The indiscriminate use of such catalogues often leads to <strong>the</strong> falseimpression that prior to <strong>the</strong> sequence of large earthquakes that began in 1938,<strong>the</strong> North Anatolian fault zone was, for all practical purposes, quiescent (see, forinstance, Toksoz et al., 1979, Figure 2). The same applies to Central Anatolia, to <strong>the</strong>Border Zone (East Anatolian fault zone) and to its extension into <strong>the</strong> Dead Sea faultwhere, although recent seismicity has been very low, large historical earthquakesare known to have occurred with disastrous consequences (Ambraseys and Melville,1986).2. Sources of InformationEarthquake catalogues ei<strong>the</strong>r ignore <strong>the</strong> Anatolian earthquake of 17 August 1668,or refer vaguely to a series of earthquakes that occurred in different parts of AsiaMinor during <strong>the</strong> period 3 July to 13 September 1668 (Hoff, 1840; Perrey, 1850;Mallet, 1850). Their source of information, <strong>the</strong> Dressdnische Gelehrte Anzeigen(1756), is an extract <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> contemporary Theatrum Europaeum (1668), whichappears to have had access to reliable local information, most probably deriving<strong>from</strong> correspondence with European merchants living in different parts of westernAnatolia. Such information is remarkable for its lack of exaggeration. However,<strong>the</strong>se early catalogues fail to identify not only <strong>the</strong> position of most of <strong>the</strong> placesmentioned in <strong>the</strong>ir source as having been affected by <strong>the</strong> earthquake, but also <strong>the</strong>exact date of <strong>the</strong> main event.With <strong>the</strong> exception of Stepanian (1942), authors since Mallet add nothing butconfusion, which distorts <strong>the</strong> effects of this earthquake. Thus Sieberg (1932), withoutquoting his source of information and without any good justification, splits <strong>the</strong><strong>Historical</strong> <strong>Seismograms</strong>and Earthquakes of <strong>the</strong> World173Copyright (c) 1988 by Academic Press, Inc.All rights of reproduction in any form reserved

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