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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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Analysis of <strong>Historical</strong> <strong>Seismograms</strong> of Large Mezican Earthquakes 754. Complexity/Simplicity of P- Waveforms of Large Earthquake along<strong>the</strong> Mexican Subduction ZoneIt was pointed out by Chael and Stewart (1982) and Astiz arid Kanamori (1984)that P-waveforms of large subduction zone earthquakes of Mexico are very simpleat teleseismic long period (LP) WWSSN stations with only few exceptions. Becauseof its implications to <strong>the</strong> tectonics and rupture mechanics, we decided tostudy <strong>the</strong> complexity/simplicity of P-waveforms of older earthquakes using historicalseismograms. This presented difficulties because <strong>the</strong> response characteristicsof <strong>the</strong> older seismographs (mostly Wiechert and Galitzins) are very different <strong>from</strong>LP WWSSN. A comparison of LP WWSSN seismograms at ESK of large Mexicanearthquakes with <strong>the</strong> corresponding Wiechert and Galitzin seismograms at someEuropean stations suggested that, in spite of different responses of <strong>the</strong> seismographs,qualitative and quantitative inferences regarding complexity/simplicity canbe drawn <strong>from</strong> Wiecherts and Galitzins, respectively (Figure 6). Figure 7 showsWiechert and Galitzin seismograms of large Oaxaca earthquakes recorded at Europeanstations. With <strong>the</strong> exception of 1931 and 1950 earthquakes all earthquakesappear simple. We have now checked Galitzin seismograms <strong>from</strong> DeBilt and ourprevious conclusion remains valid. Note that <strong>the</strong> polarity of 1931 earthquake isinverted with respect to o<strong>the</strong>r earthquakes. The polarity at European stations forlarge thrust earthquakes in Mexico are always compressional. A dilatational firstmotion, <strong>the</strong>n, suggests an anomalous earthquake. This led to <strong>the</strong> suggestion that<strong>the</strong> 1931 earthquake was a great (Ms = 8.0) normal or strike-slip faulting event(Singh et al., 1084b).Study of historic seismograms showed that large earthquakes in Oaxaca aremostly simple, in Guerrero and hlichoacin simple or complex, whereas in Jalisco<strong>the</strong>y are complex (Singh et al., 1984b). [The recent great earthquake of Michoach(19 September 1985; Ms = 8.1) consisted of 2 subevents as seen on LP WWSSN].Syn<strong>the</strong>tic and observed P-waves of some earthquakes itre shown in Figure 8. Notethat we have assumed a typical thrust focal mechanism based on recent studiesfor <strong>the</strong> syn<strong>the</strong>tic modeling. Because of <strong>the</strong> location of European stations on <strong>the</strong>focal sphere, small changes in focal parameters do not affect <strong>the</strong> syn<strong>the</strong>tics. Sourcetime functions and depths estimated <strong>from</strong> just one European stations are consideredreliable (Singh et al., 1984a).5. The Great Oaxaca, Mexico Earthquake of 15 January 1931: LithosphericNormal Faulting in <strong>the</strong> Subducted Cocos PlateAs mentioned earlier <strong>the</strong> first motion at European stations for <strong>the</strong> 1931 earthquakesuggested that <strong>the</strong> event was not a thrust fault (Figure 7). Location of <strong>the</strong>1031 earthquake is shown in Figure 9. The focal mechanism constructed <strong>from</strong> manyhistorical seismograms is shown in Figure 10 which suggests a normal faulting ona E-W plane dipping 56' to <strong>the</strong> north. Figure 11 shows syn<strong>the</strong>tic and observedP-waves for Galitzin seismograms at DeBilt and LaPaz. The estimated depth of<strong>the</strong> source is about 25 to 40 km. A section through AA' in Figure 10 is shown inFigure 12. It appears that <strong>the</strong> 1931 earthquake broke <strong>the</strong> entire subducted Cocosplate. Such great normal faults generally occur near <strong>the</strong> trench (Sanriku type). Theearthquake of 1931 occurred inland and destroyed <strong>the</strong> city of Oaxaca. Great normalfaulting earthquake may occur elsewhere in Mexico and add ano<strong>the</strong>r elementin seismic risk estimation. Fur<strong>the</strong>r details are given in Singh et al. (1985a).

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