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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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184 N. N. Ambraseys and C. P. MelvilleMany of <strong>the</strong>se issues are relevant to <strong>the</strong> identification and analysis of a largeearthquake that occurred in <strong>the</strong> Eastern Mediterranean on 20 May 1202.3. Previous CataloguesEarly catalogues ei<strong>the</strong>r ignore <strong>the</strong> 1202 earthquake (Coronelli, 1693; Seyfart,1756; Dressdnischer, 1756; Berryat, 1761; Huot, 1837) or mention an earthquake on30 May 1202 (perhaps converting to <strong>the</strong> New Style calendar), which caused greatdamage to <strong>the</strong> Christian-held territory of Tyre, Tripoli, ’Arqa and Acre (Manetti,1457; Batman, 1581; Beu<strong>the</strong>r, 1601). None of <strong>the</strong>se authors quote <strong>the</strong>ir source ofinformation.Among later authors, Hoff (1840) quotes early editions of Muslim writers (Abu’l-Faraj, Abu ’1-Fida and Hajji Khalifa), all secondary sources, but separates <strong>the</strong>events into two distinct earthquakes in 1201 and 1204. Hoff is followed by Mallet(1852, p. 30), who notes however that non-Arab authors have 13th, 20th or 30thMay 1202, probably referring to <strong>the</strong> sources cited by Perrey (1850, p. 18). Perreyquotes Baronius’s Annalium Ecclesiasticorum, where an account similar to that ofRobert of Auxerre’s, but dated 30 May 1202, is found (ed. 0. Raynaldo, Rome1646, xiii, 89); also Ralph of Coggeshall and Robert of Auxerre’s accounts (ed.Dom Bouquet, Rec. des Hist. de Gaule et de la France, xviii, 97, 265-6)’ cf. below.The chronicle published in L. Muratori, Rerum Italicarum Scriptores, XXVI, 85 isprobably Sozomenus’s 15th century universal history. The chronicle published inLuc d’Achery, Spicilegium, xi, 478 has not yet been examined. One or o<strong>the</strong>r of<strong>the</strong>se latter two must give <strong>the</strong> date 13 May 1202. This results in three earthquakes,occurring in 1201 or 1202,20 May 1202 (Old Style) and 1204, which affected parts ofSyria, Mesopotamia and Egypt, though Perrey notes that <strong>the</strong> first two are probably<strong>the</strong> same.Authors since Mallet add nothing but fur<strong>the</strong>r chronological confusion, which inturn obscures <strong>the</strong> size and effects of <strong>the</strong> earthquake. Willis (1928), on <strong>the</strong> authorityof secondary works (Tholozan, 1879; Arvanitakis, 1903; Blankenhorn, 1905;Vigouroux, 1912) increases <strong>the</strong> number of earthquakes in <strong>the</strong> period to four, i.e. in1201, 1202, 1203, and 1204, and adds ano<strong>the</strong>r two shocks in 597 and 600 A.D., whichare in fact <strong>the</strong> Muslim years covering <strong>the</strong> period 1201-1204 that he misinterprets<strong>from</strong> Sprenger (1843), cf. Ambraseys (1962). Ambraseys’ own early work (196l),which is an uncritical translation of one of <strong>the</strong> many manuscripts of al-Suyuti’s treatise,passes on <strong>the</strong> errors in <strong>the</strong> text. Ambraseys’ studies on <strong>the</strong> seismicity of Iranand adjacent regions (1968, 1974) are very incomplete and occasionally misleading,but likewise continue to be used uncritically. Willis is followed by later authors,such as Sieberg (1932a,b), Kallner-Amiran (1951), Plassard and Kagoj (1968) ando<strong>the</strong>rs. Some produce two major earthquakes out of <strong>the</strong> 20 May 1202 event (Ben-Menahem, 1979), o<strong>the</strong>rs five (Alsinawi and Ghalib, 1975), with an average of threedestructive shocks given by Poirier and Taher (1980), <strong>the</strong> only 20th century authorswho have <strong>the</strong> credit of using an extensive number of Arabic sources.4. Sources of Information.Owing to <strong>the</strong> Crusader presence in <strong>the</strong> Levant, information on <strong>the</strong> effects of<strong>the</strong> earthquake is available <strong>from</strong> both Christian and Muslim authors. Both sets ofdata naturally refer most particularly to <strong>the</strong> territory belonging to <strong>the</strong> respective

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