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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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3 10 N. N. Ambraseysa00 .Msc760 ...=..Y=*50I 1 I I5 6 7 Ms 8Figure 2. Plot of magnitude Msc predicted <strong>from</strong> Equation (2) using fault parametersin Bonilla, et al. (1984) circles, and Nowroozi (1985) squares, versus corresponding surfacewave magnitude Ms reported by <strong>the</strong>se authors. This figure includes events No. 1 and10 in Nowroozi's Table 1, <strong>the</strong> latter with <strong>the</strong> correct Ms-value of 7.4. The same figureexcludes event 46 of <strong>the</strong> Calingiri earthquake, for which R = O.lm and Ms = 5.2. TheIranian data give Msc = 0.53 + 0.94 Ms and <strong>the</strong> world data give Msc = 0.93 + 0.87 Ms.Equations (1) and (2) may be used to estimate <strong>the</strong> magnitude of historical eventsin <strong>the</strong> Alpine region <strong>from</strong> faults of known or inferred length and mobility. Of <strong>the</strong>setwo equations, <strong>the</strong> highest correlation coefficient is obtained for Equation (2) or forequations of <strong>the</strong> type Msc - log(L"R").REFERENCESAmbraseys, N. (1976). Earthquake epicentres in Iran, Cento Seminar Proc. on RecentAduanc. Earthq. Hazard Minimization, 70-80, Tehran.Ambraseys, N. and C. Melville (1982). A History of Persian Earthquakes, Cambridge Univ.Press.Bonilla M., R. Mark, and J. Lienkaemper (1984). Statistical relations among earthquakemagnitude, surface rupture length and surface fault displacement, Bull. Seism. SOC.Am., 74, 2379-2411.Nowroozi, A. (1985). Empirical relations between magnitudes and fault parameters forearthquakes in Iran, Bull. Seism. SOC. Am., 75, 1327-1338.

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