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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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Data Bases on <strong>Historical</strong> Seismicity 133Figure 2. Catalog of strong earthquakes in USSR <strong>from</strong> ancient times to 1977(A4 > 6.75).2. Quality ControlThe usage of seismological data for prediction and o<strong>the</strong>r research requires continuousupdating and verification. NGDC (Rinehart, et al., in press) and IPE(Gvishiani and Zheligovsky, in press) have developed independent procedures forthis activity. The logical scheme for verifying and updating <strong>the</strong> NOAA data baseis shown in Figure 3.At IPE, <strong>the</strong> research applications begin with seismicity files that are compiled<strong>from</strong> data of different sources (Shebalin, in press). The data base contains morethan 70 catalogs , including <strong>the</strong> historical seismicity stored in sequential files, including:(1) worldwide catalogs - NOAA, ISS-ISC, Abe, Gutenberg and Richter, etc.;(2) New Catalog of Strong Earthquakes in <strong>the</strong> Territory of <strong>the</strong> USSR <strong>from</strong> AncientTimes to 1984; (3) republic and regional catalogs of <strong>the</strong> USSR; and (4) regional catalogs- USA, Japan, Italy, France, Spain, Canada, Turkey, New Zealand and o<strong>the</strong>rs.The reliability of <strong>the</strong> earthquake information increases with <strong>the</strong> time delay betweenoccurrence of <strong>the</strong> event and publication of its parameters. (Immediate earthquakereports and bulletins are not as reliable as later catalogs.) Thus, it is necessary tocreate <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> existing sources a file that contains for every time period <strong>the</strong> mostreliable earthquake data.Figure 4 shows how this problem is solved at IPE. Priorities of reliability areassigned to different sources according to <strong>the</strong> amount of primary information and<strong>the</strong> time period between occurrence and publication. The lower <strong>the</strong> priority number,<strong>the</strong> greater <strong>the</strong> reliability of source. This system of updating assures that IPE’s database includes, for every time period, only <strong>the</strong> earthquake parameters <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> sourceof highest priority. In this file, <strong>the</strong> delay of <strong>the</strong> data entry for certain regional datacatalogs is no longer than ten days after receipt of published listings.Thus, <strong>the</strong> data in <strong>the</strong> current IPE catalog have been verified, as illustrated inFigure 5, using an analytical approach to <strong>the</strong> geophysical data. Applying thisapproach to most of <strong>the</strong> IPE computer catalogs has led to <strong>the</strong> discovery of errorsin up to 10% of <strong>the</strong> records in some data files.

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