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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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298 R. Muir Wood, G. Woo, and H. Bungummacroseismic observations. The macroseismic record is <strong>the</strong>refore of great importancein determining <strong>the</strong> geographical distribution and return periods of significantearthquakes within this region.In this paper we report on studies that have led to <strong>the</strong> construction of a newnor<strong>the</strong>rn North Sea seismicity catalogue. In order to create such a catalogue independentof <strong>the</strong> old partial and national catalogues it has been necessary wherepossible to return to <strong>the</strong> primary earthquake information. The original data havebeen interpreted according to a uniform intensity scale and mapped according to astandard method, and <strong>the</strong> work also includes a reevaluation of earthquake magnitudes.This process of reconstruction has been undertaken recently for <strong>the</strong> region ofGreat Britain, <strong>the</strong> North Sea and Scandinavia over several years (Principia, 1982,1985; Woo and Muir Wood, 1984) and has been continued through a number of specialstudies for individual sites in <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn North Sea (NORSAR et d., 1984;NGI et al., 1985; NORSAR et al., 1985). <strong>Historical</strong> earthquake studies for <strong>the</strong> sameareas have also been published by Neilson (1979) and by Ambraseys (1985a,b).2. Review of <strong>Historical</strong> SourcesThe existence and survival of records of earthquakes <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> peripheral countriesof <strong>the</strong> North Sea reflects <strong>the</strong> history of settlement and learning in <strong>the</strong> northwestEuropean region. This history is itself in part <strong>the</strong> product of geological factors. Thefertile countries around <strong>the</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>rn North Sea have supported large agriculturalpopulations that have nucleated cities and centers of documentation and learning,while to <strong>the</strong> north <strong>the</strong> rocky glaciated lands have sustained only scattered communitiesthat throughout much of <strong>the</strong>ir history have remained as effective coloniesof dominant sou<strong>the</strong>rn neighbors. Thus it is only <strong>from</strong> around <strong>the</strong> beginning of <strong>the</strong>19th century, in both nor<strong>the</strong>rn Scotland and western Norway, that earthquakes wereregularly chronicled. This was done through <strong>the</strong> establishment of newspapers and<strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> presence of local natural historians and scientific societies. However, inboth Scotland and Norway <strong>the</strong> random reporting of earthquakes goes back two centuriesearlier, but <strong>the</strong>se reports are hard to use because <strong>the</strong>re rarely was more thanone chronicler, reporting only that <strong>the</strong> earthquake was felt at his place of residence.In western Norway it is only for earthquakes located in and around <strong>the</strong> Skagerrak,reported also in Denmark and Sweden, that it is possible to draw even crude mapsof events prior to 1800. This is in marked contrast to England, Belgium, Franceand Germany where it is possible to map significant earthquakes back as early as1200 <strong>AD</strong>.Throughout <strong>the</strong> historical record <strong>the</strong>re is a marked asymmetry in <strong>the</strong> reportingof earthquakes to ei<strong>the</strong>r side of <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn North Sea. While many earthquakeshave been reported <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> coast of western Norway alone, all earthquakes feltalong <strong>the</strong> coast of eastern Scotland ei<strong>the</strong>r have an epicenter in mainland Scotlandor <strong>the</strong>y have also been reported <strong>from</strong> Norway. Throughout <strong>the</strong> historical periodeastern Scotland has been more developed than western Norway, has accumulatedmore detailed accounts of earthquakes in local newspapers and has been more highlypopulated. Thus, this variation in reported earthquakes represents a genuine andimportant variation in seismicity levels to ei<strong>the</strong>r side of <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn North Sea,which has been amply confirmed through recent seismic monitoring. Apart <strong>from</strong> afew events reported by lighthouse keepers in Shetland in <strong>the</strong> late 19th century, <strong>the</strong>

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