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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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ANALYSIS OF HISTORICAL SEISMOGRAMS OFLARGE MEXICAN EARTHQUAKES (M, 2 7.0):SUMMARY OF IMPORTANT RESULTSS. K. SinghInstituto de Geofisica, U.N.A.M.C.U., Mexico 04510, D.F., MexicoABSTRACTAnalysis of historical seismograms recorded at teleseismic distances aswell as at stations of <strong>the</strong> Mexican Seismological Service has greatly improvedour understanding of <strong>the</strong> tectonics and <strong>the</strong> seismic risk along <strong>the</strong>Mexican subduction zone. Important results include (1) homogeneousearthquake catalog for Ms 2 6.5 since 1906, (2) strong evidence of bulgein log N - Ms plot suggesting characteristic earthquakes with Ms e 7.7,(3) complexity/simplicity of P-waveforms of large earthquakes along <strong>the</strong>Mexican subduction zone, (4) discovery that 15 January 1931 Oaxacaearthquake (Ms = 8.0) was an inland normal fault which probably broke<strong>the</strong> entire subducted COCOS plate, (5) seismic moments of large earthquakes(Ms > 7.0) since 1906, (6) evidence that <strong>the</strong> great Jalisco earthquakeof 3 June 1932 (Ms = 8.2) broke <strong>the</strong> Rivera-North American plateinterface showing that small, young plates subducting with small relativeplate velocity are capable of generating great earthquakes, and (7) reexaminationof seismic gaps and recurrence periods of large earthquakesalong <strong>the</strong> Mexican subduction zone. We summarize <strong>the</strong>se results whichshow <strong>the</strong> enormous value of <strong>the</strong> historical seismograms. Even though <strong>the</strong>quality and <strong>the</strong> quantity of historical seismograms as compared to <strong>the</strong>modern ones, is limited, <strong>the</strong>re is a wealth of extremely useful informationwhich can be extracted <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong>m. Of great value are <strong>the</strong> seismograms<strong>from</strong> stations which have kept <strong>the</strong> old seismographs in continuous operation.1. IntroductionThe purpose of this paper is to summarize some of <strong>the</strong> important recent resultsrelated to tectonics and seismic risk in Mexico obtained <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> analysis of historicalseismograms. By historical seismograms we shall mean seismograms recordedprior to <strong>the</strong> installation of World-Wide Standard Seismograph Stations (WWSSN)in 1962. In much of our analysis we have used seismograms <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> stations of<strong>the</strong> Mexican Seismological Network and some key stations <strong>from</strong> Europe (Uppsala,Gottingen, DeBilt, Stuttgart, and Copenhagen, among o<strong>the</strong>rs).2. A Catalog of Shallow Mexican EarthquakesA homogeneous catalog is essential in <strong>the</strong> statistical analysis of earthquakes.Although a catalog of Mexican earthquakes was prepared by Figueroa (1970), <strong>the</strong>magnitudes in this catalog are not reliable because of (a) inconsistent use of anuncalibrated local and regional magnitude scale, (b) clipping of seismograms for<strong>Historical</strong> <strong>Seismograms</strong>and Earthquakes of <strong>the</strong> World70Copyright (c) 1988 by Academic Press, Inc.All rights of reproduction in any form reserved.

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