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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKES OF THAILAND,BURMA, AND INDOCHINAS. PrachuabMeteorological Department, Bangkok, ThailandABSTRACT<strong>Historical</strong> earthquake data <strong>from</strong> 642 BC to 1983 has been analyzed andreported in this paper in order to understand <strong>the</strong> seismicity and associatedphenomena. From quantitative seismicity analysis, Thailand, Burma andIndochina have been divided into 12 seismic zones corresponding to <strong>the</strong>seismotectonic structure and geologic features in this region.Using <strong>the</strong> well-known =magnitude-frequency" relation of Gutenbergand Richter and a modification of this relation by Peter Welkner, <strong>the</strong>values of u and b are investigated for <strong>the</strong> period 1900 to 1983. The valuesof a and b obtained for <strong>the</strong> region are 6.654 and 0.75 respectively, whichare typical of moderately active seismic zones. The recurrence periodsfor earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 and 7.5 are calculated as 3 and 8 years,respectively.1. IntroductionA study of historical earthquakes in Thailand, Burma and Indochina providesnot only a basis for statistical analysis of earthquakes but also for <strong>the</strong> earthquakehazard studies in this area. The data used for analysis are taken <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> reportSeismicity Data of Thailand and Adjacent Areas (Nutalaya and Sodsri, 1983).This earthquake report contains two main catalogs. The first catalog contains <strong>the</strong>historical earthquake data for <strong>the</strong> period 642 BC to 1900, accumulated <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong>historical texts, annuals, stone inscriptions and astrological documents, and <strong>from</strong><strong>the</strong> Geological Survey of India Records and Memoirs. The second catalog contains<strong>the</strong> instrumental earthquake data for <strong>the</strong> period 1900 to 1983, accumulated <strong>from</strong>various international seismological centers (eg. USGS, ISC, MOS) and <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong>Thai Meteorological Department. The seismicity map of <strong>the</strong> region between 5"N to25'N latitude and 90°E to llOoE longitude for <strong>the</strong> period 642 BC to 1983 is shownin Figure 1.Nutalaya and Sodsri (1984) divided Thailand, Burma and Indochina into 12seismic source zones, using quantitative seismicity analysis (Figure 2). Table 1 lists<strong>the</strong> zone name, <strong>the</strong> number of seismic events, and <strong>the</strong> maximum magnitude eventfor each seismic source zone. These seismic source zones were identified by plotting<strong>the</strong> historical epicenters along with <strong>the</strong> geological and tectonic information. Thesize and shape of each source zone reflects <strong>the</strong> geographic distribution of seismicitytoge<strong>the</strong>r with <strong>the</strong> regional tectonic style. Only zone C is characterized by seismicityassociated with individual active faults as documented by historical records.Magnitude-frequency analysis has been determined for <strong>the</strong> entire region for <strong>the</strong>period 1900 to 1983. The objective of this analysis is to investigate <strong>the</strong> earthquakesthat occurred during this century, <strong>the</strong> results of which indicate <strong>the</strong> statusof historical seismicity in <strong>the</strong> region.<strong>Historical</strong> <strong>Seismograms</strong>and Earthquakes of <strong>the</strong> World253Copyright Q 1988 by Academic Press, Inc.All rights of reproduction in any form reserved.

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