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Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

Historical Seismograms - Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu Islands ...

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72 S. K. Singh<strong>from</strong> Uppsala. We also used GSttingen seismograms/bulletins to estimate magnitudes.Recall that Ms computed <strong>from</strong> (1) is 0.18 unit less that <strong>the</strong> Ms reportedin Earthquake Data Report (EDR) of U.S. Geological Survey (Abe, 1981). Ourcatalog of shallow Mexican earthquakes (Singh et al., 1984a) lists Ms so that itconforms to EDR. Tests show that it is complete for MS 2 6.5 <strong>from</strong> July 1906 toDecember 1981 (Singh et al., 1984a).Abe and Noguchi (1983) have fur<strong>the</strong>r revised Ms values of large earthquakes in<strong>the</strong> period 1897-1912. This revision does not change equation (l), hence our catalog,significantly since only 3 events shown in Figure 1 have been assigned different Ms(on an average lower by 0.2 unit).3. Statistics of Small Earthquakes and Frequency of Occurrence of LargeEarthquakes: <strong>Evidence</strong> of Characteristic Earthquakes in Mexico.Singh et al. (1981) found that Gutenberg-Richter (GR) relation, log N = a-bMs,was not valid for Mexico for Ms 2 7.0; <strong>the</strong>re was a deficiency of events for 7.0 5Ms 5 7.4 with respect to what one would expect <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> GR relation. This resulthad great implications for seismic risk studies. It also implied that areas rupturedpreferentially with certain maximum magnitude. With <strong>the</strong> completion of <strong>the</strong> newcatalog <strong>the</strong> earthquake statistics were reexamined. Figure 2 shows 4 regions inwhich <strong>the</strong> subduction zone of Mexico was divided (Singh et al., 1983). The plot oflog N - Ms is shown in Figure 3 for <strong>the</strong> combined regions of Oaxaca, Guerrero,and Michoacdn (Jalisco region was excluded because <strong>the</strong> seismicity in this regionis related to <strong>the</strong> subduction of <strong>the</strong> Rivera plate and is expected to differ <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong>o<strong>the</strong>r 3 regions). In Figure 3, 75.5 yr data, taken <strong>from</strong> <strong>the</strong> catalog, as well as 18.5 yrdata (since <strong>the</strong> installation of WWSSN) normalized to 75.5 yr, are plotted. For thisFigure 2. Regions along <strong>the</strong> Mexican subduction zone studied for <strong>the</strong> statistics ofearthquakes. Seismicity of Oaxaca, Guerrero, and Michoacin regions is related to <strong>the</strong>subduction of <strong>the</strong> Cocos plate whereas <strong>the</strong> seismicity of Jalisco is mostly related to <strong>the</strong>subduction of <strong>the</strong> Rivera plate below Mexico. (From Singh et al., 1983).

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