280218_Luxor-Egypt SECAP Final_revised

Main climate trends
Temperature
In terms of climate projection (Figure 20), it shows the percentage change in average annual temperature by
2100 from the baseline climate of 1960-1990, averaged over 21 CMIP3 models 48 . It is clear that the projected
temperature increases over the city of Luxor – Governorate of Luxor by around 3°C to 3.5°C.
Rainfall
Regarding climate projection (Figure 21), it illustrates the percentage change in average annual precipitation
by 2100 from the baseline climate period of 1960-1990, averaged over 21 CMIP3 models.
It indicates that Egypt is projected to experience a decrease in precipitation, which is seen as common with
the wider Mediterranean and the majority of the Middle East. In the city of Luxor, the decrease of -5% to -
10% is projected, whereas it is projected -10% to -20% in the city Hurghada.
Climate change weather scenarios
The CC World Weather Gen generates the climate change weather scenarios for 2020, 2050 and 2080 for
worldwide locations to be used in building performance simulation programs.
It’s based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Assessment Report 58 .
Table 11: Scenario Day (1 July) – City of Luxor
Year
Dry-bulb Temperature
°C
Relative Humidity
%
Horizontal Radiation
W/m 2
Wind Speed
%
1980 - 2003 39.2 15 612 2.6
2050 42.6 13 607 2.5
2080 45 12 604 2.5
58
Climate Change World Weather File Generator for World-Wide Weather Data – CCWorldWeatherGen – available at:
http://www.energy.soton.ac.uk/ccworldweathergen/
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