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ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES in rocky mountain coniferous ...

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or, by rearrangement,<br />

AX. I afi Ax,tt-~t<br />

1.t = AXi,t-~t + - + -2<br />

r<br />

af. Ax&t-~t +. . .<br />

~t nt I ax, nt ax2 at<br />

ax, at ax j<br />

Instead of deal<strong>in</strong>g with ,rates of change, we can rewrite equation 8 to facilitate<br />

predictions of change per -<br />

se, or -<br />

where AXi ,t-At represents the change <strong>in</strong> state of the jth environmental characteris-<br />

tic dur<strong>in</strong>g the previous time <strong>in</strong>terval from t-At to t; and AXi,, represents the pre-<br />

dicted change <strong>in</strong> state of the ith environmental characteristic dur<strong>in</strong>g the next time<br />

<strong>in</strong>terval from t to t + At. Of course, the time <strong>in</strong>tervals (At) are equal <strong>in</strong> each<br />

iteration. That is<br />

At = t-(t-At)<br />

and At = (t+At) - t .<br />

afi/aX . is the partial derivative of the rate of change <strong>in</strong> Xi with respect to X<br />

"l Y<br />

dur<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>terval from t to t+At (see fig. 12).<br />

At<br />

Figme 12. --Chunge <strong>in</strong> dX;/dt given a<br />

change <strong>in</strong> Xj onty .

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