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ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES in rocky mountain coniferous ...

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W<strong>in</strong>d speed modifies the exchange of heat moisture and gases. An <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong><br />

w<strong>in</strong>d speed decreases the thickness of the boundary layer, or cushion of air close to<br />

a surface, and decreases the resistance to exchange. When the resistance to heat,<br />

moisture, or gas exchange is reduced more heat, moisture, or gas is lost, Increases<br />

<strong>in</strong> w<strong>in</strong>d speed can be effective <strong>in</strong> remov<strong>in</strong>g heat and cool<strong>in</strong>g an object. Removal by<br />

w<strong>in</strong>d of water vapor be<strong>in</strong>g transpired or evaporated from a surface <strong>in</strong>creases water<br />

loss. Often this has adverse effects, caus<strong>in</strong>g dessication and possibly death if the<br />

supply of mi sture becomes <strong>in</strong>adequate. Dur<strong>in</strong>g periods of rapid photosynthesis w<strong>in</strong>d<br />

can be beneficial by keep<strong>in</strong>g carbon dioxide levels higher near leaves. In still air,<br />

carbon dioxide suppl ies may be depleted near 1 eaves, depress<strong>in</strong>g photosynthetic rates.<br />

Some w<strong>in</strong>d near the ground can help prevent freez<strong>in</strong>g at the surface. Mix<strong>in</strong>g of the<br />

air is more thorough, reduc<strong>in</strong>g radiative cool<strong>in</strong>g. This pr<strong>in</strong>ciple is often used <strong>in</strong><br />

orchards to prevent frost.<br />

PREDICTING <strong>ENVIRONMENTAL</strong> CONDITIONS AND <strong>CONSEQUENCES</strong><br />

Managers need facts about exist<strong>in</strong>g environmental conditions, about vegetative<br />

requirements and how manipulation of vegetation will alter conditions. One way to<br />

get such facts is to monitor and measure what goes on. This is becom<strong>in</strong>g more feasible<br />

<strong>in</strong> mqny cases, but we can't measure everyth<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> all places. Model<strong>in</strong>g us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

exist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>formation and selective monitor<strong>in</strong>g based on studies and experience constitute<br />

another a1 ternative. While it is obvious that ma~y causal environmental<br />

re1 ationships escape our description, we can predict some. Comb<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g monitor<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

mathematical model<strong>in</strong>g to predict environmental conditions and biological consequences<br />

offers some powerful management tool s.<br />

It is beyond the scope of this paper to discuss the details of many models and<br />

<strong>in</strong>tegrate them. I w ill, however, present some models and potentials for models that<br />

may be of benefit to managers, list<strong>in</strong>g the source and where specifics for use can be<br />

obta<strong>in</strong>ed. Gonsior and Ullrich (1980) present a potential method for <strong>in</strong>tegrat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

specific models and <strong>in</strong>formation.<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce all available energy comes from the sun, it is Important to know how much<br />

is received. Solar radiation is comnonly measured at standard locations, but not <strong>in</strong><br />

mounta<strong>in</strong>ous terra<strong>in</strong>. Latitude, aspect, slope, and cloud cover are <strong>in</strong>put variables<br />

for a model described by Satterlund and Means (1978) for estimat<strong>in</strong>g solar radiation.<br />

With their model mean daily totals can be estimated to with<strong>in</strong> 8 percent of meqsured<br />

values, The model uses estimates of potenti41 direct beqm solar radiation described<br />

by Fons and others (1960) and cloud cover data from a nearby weather station. Topo-<br />

graphical shad<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> mounta<strong>in</strong>ous terra<strong>in</strong>, and the sizes and shapes of open<strong>in</strong>gs, also<br />

<strong>in</strong>fluence the amount of solar radiation received on the surface. Satterlund (1977)<br />

deyelaped a way to predict shadow boundaries with a programmable calculqtor. The<br />

output of this model can be used to adjust the model for <strong>in</strong>cident solar radiatiou<br />

(Satterl und and Means 1978).<br />

Halverson and Smith (1974) also describe a computer model to calculate $had<strong>in</strong>g<br />

for any comb<strong>in</strong>ation of date, slope and aspect at latitudes from the Mexicap to the<br />

Canadian borders. Us<strong>in</strong>g this model one can estimate the <strong>in</strong>crease or decrease <strong>in</strong> heat<br />

or li ht to the snow surface or In the vic<strong>in</strong>ity of seed1 <strong>in</strong>gs, Fisher and Merritt<br />

(19797 discuss the use of a model to calculate 1 ight distribution <strong>in</strong> small forest<br />

open<strong>in</strong>gs. The <strong>in</strong>puts are coord<strong>in</strong>ates and heights of trees on the boundary, slope,<br />

aspect, latitude, day, time <strong>in</strong>terval and po<strong>in</strong>t coord<strong>in</strong>ates of <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> the open<strong>in</strong>g.

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