27.10.2014 Views

North Korean Policy Elites - Defense Technical Information Center

North Korean Policy Elites - Defense Technical Information Center

North Korean Policy Elites - Defense Technical Information Center

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

ombardment and military occupation in the 1940s and remains one of the symbols of Japanese<br />

national power and unity today.<br />

It is no wonder that despite traditional <strong>Korean</strong>-Japanese animosity, Kim Il Sung is said to<br />

have advised Kim Jong Il repeatedly to step back from the domestic political arena and economic<br />

policy-making and leave both to the party and government officials, while concentrating his<br />

energy on cultivating national military power, advancing the international interests of the DPRK,<br />

and acting as a symbol of national unity, sovereignty, and dignity before the <strong>North</strong> <strong>Korean</strong><br />

people and the world. If Kim Jong Il succeeds in redefining and re-legitimizing the constitutional<br />

space for his absolute monarchy through bold constitutional compromises, and insulates it from<br />

political and economic processes pressuring the <strong>North</strong> <strong>Korean</strong> society from inside and outside<br />

through radical administrative reforms without undermining its charismatic legitimacy, then he<br />

may be able to extend its life for generations to come.<br />

The wild card is the set of pressures and incentives presented by the international<br />

community in the years to come and the possible reaction of the <strong>North</strong> <strong>Korean</strong> national security<br />

establishment to these changing external circumstances. If the continuous survival of the Kim<br />

Jong Il clan eventually becomes an obstacle and a serious threat to the preservation of the<br />

DPRK’s national sovereignty and independence for whatever reason (for instance, the threat of<br />

the use of force against the regime is substantiated and becomes a “clear and present danger,” or<br />

the increased possibility of Kim Jong Il’s “sell-out” with a “golden parachute” by striking a<br />

behind-the-scenes deal on reunification with the ROK leaders, or the uncontrolled escalation of<br />

internal civil and political strife fuelled by foreign penetration), then one cannot exclude the<br />

possibility that the national security establishment, the primary guarantors and main beneficiaries<br />

of the territorial integrity and national sovereignty of the DPRK, may orchestrate a swift palace<br />

coup against or another car crash accident involving Kim Jong Il and his clan.<br />

They witnessed what the Gorbachev reforms did to the old Soviet Union, which is no<br />

more. They observed the chaos and destruction that took place under the liberal democratic<br />

Yeltsin regime in the new Russia. Neither alternative is acceptable to them. But, the rise of<br />

previously unknown foreign intelligence operative Putin from the bowels of the former Russian<br />

KGB monster to unexpectedly take over the helm of the sinking Russian Titanic as a result of the<br />

“Grey Colonels coup” inside the Kremlin, and his imposition on Russian chaos of a nationalistic<br />

militaristic bureaucratic regime, spear-heading the state-capitalist development and restoring<br />

Russia’s great power status may well appeal to their imagination.<br />

In order to preserve the national sovereignty against the looming threat of the South-led<br />

absorption and abolition of the <strong>North</strong> <strong>Korean</strong> state, fraught with the likely decapitation of the<br />

IV-55

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!