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North Korean Policy Elites - Defense Technical Information Center

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Legitimacy<br />

Kim Chong-il has already eroded much of this legitimacy by not following the pursuit of<br />

power through legally established channels when he assumed the portfolio of General Secretary<br />

in 1997. Up until now, this violation of party procedures has not led to direct challenges to Kim’s<br />

authority. However, if pressure on the system continues to erode the foundation of privileges that<br />

support the elite, opposition to the dynastic succession, which exists beneath the surface, could<br />

erupt into a struggle for power. In such a struggle, the opposition could seize the initiative by<br />

highlighting Kim’s lack of institutional legitimacy.<br />

System Vulnerabilities<br />

Many of the vulnerabilities of the <strong>North</strong> <strong>Korean</strong> system reside with the elite. It is a class<br />

that for decades has been insulated from the horrors that are experienced throughout the country.<br />

As the <strong>North</strong> <strong>Korean</strong> economy has deteriorated, many elites have opened trading companies to<br />

earn foreign currency. This in turn has led to increasing corruption and weakening of the<br />

cohesion of the privileged class. Since the <strong>North</strong> <strong>Korean</strong> system is based on “feudal service<br />

nobility,” where loyalty is ensured through privilege, if the regime loses its ability to placate the<br />

elite through goods and services, factions opposed to the regime could emerge.<br />

Warlordism<br />

While the evidence of existing warlords within the <strong>North</strong> <strong>Korean</strong> system is speculative at<br />

best, the possibility for their creation is real. Most likely, they will emerge within Kim Chongil’s<br />

inner core of supporters. As Kim Chong-il continues to isolate his power by narrowing the<br />

channels of communication and transferring lines of authority between bureaucracies, he is not<br />

only causing deep fractures within the leadership, but also bringing the security forces into<br />

conflict with each other. These two outcomes have direct consequences for the elite, who see<br />

their access to the Suryong, and the perks associated with that access, threatened.<br />

II-S-3

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