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Africa at a Fork in the Road: Taking Off or Disappointment Once Again?<br />

the informal sector contribute less than three percent―completely out of proportion<br />

to the informal sector’s minimum 50 percent share of total value added. This<br />

imbalance leads to a vicious circle, increasing taxes and fees on a dwindling formal<br />

sector, as formal firms exit or become informal, and reducing foreign direct investment.<br />

Moreover, fiscal authorities harass formal-sector firms. In West Africa, many<br />

managers of formal-sector firms complain that once they are identified by the fiscal<br />

authorities as significant taxpayers, they are subject to repeated audits and upward<br />

adjustments in payments. Recent literature emphasizes the role of tax morale as<br />

a crucial determinant of tax evasion and informalization more generally (Perry and<br />

others, 2007). 2 In Latin America, countries in which taxpayers are confident that<br />

their money has been put to good use have higher voluntary compliance with tax<br />

obligations. This conclusion is strongly corroborated by Benjamin and Mbaye (2012a)<br />

in West Africa, where the proportion of firm managers who express dissatisfaction<br />

with government use of tax revenues is very high, undoubtedly contributing further<br />

to tax evasion.<br />

Research on the business climate in developing countries has arrived at mixed<br />

conclusions regarding the effects of government interventions. On one hand, government<br />

policies that are intended to boost informal firms’ productivity (for example<br />

through training or cheaper credit) are considered necessary for private sector<br />

development. On the other hand, government is viewed mainly as an impediment<br />

due to high tax collection and costs of compliance with regulations.<br />

A more sophisticated perspective on government is in order. Rules and enforcement<br />

are certainly important but so are the quality of public services, governance, perceptions<br />

of a level playing field, state failures, and many other institutional features<br />

of “the system.” For example, informal firms often complain as much about lack of<br />

transparency and difficulties of compliance with tax and regulatory obligations as<br />

they do about the requirements themselves. Thus, governments and formal firms<br />

have a common interest in greater tax compliance and better service delivery.<br />

Actions: Governments and organizations representing the private sector and civil<br />

society, with assistance from the donor community, should initiate dialogues that<br />

reveal elements of a public-private bargain that enhances both public performance<br />

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