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Africa at a Fork in the Road: Taking Off or Disappointment Once Again?<br />

a broader number of people, regions, or countries, while protecting the vulnerable,<br />

all being done in an environment of fairness, equal justice, and political plurality.”<br />

The AfDB’s (2012) vision is generally consistent with that of the World Bank, particularly<br />

as expressed in Ianchovichina and Lundstrom (2009a and 2009b), but with<br />

one major exception relating to the treatment of inequality. AfDB (2012) emphasizes<br />

the following features of inclusive growth: (a) rapid and sustained poverty reduction<br />

allowing all segments of society to contribute and benefit from growth; (b) both the<br />

pace and pattern of growth are important, as is the way they are interlinked; (c) a<br />

long-term perspective should be adopted, with productive employment, rather than<br />

redistribution, as the main instrument of growth. Regarding the treatment of inequality,<br />

the World Bank essentially adopts the view that there is no need to advocate the<br />

reduction of inequality as long as the poor receive some benefits from the ongoing<br />

growth process. 2 The AfDB vision is that within the context of a setting characterized<br />

by very high and persistent income inequality, a reduction in inequality should<br />

be part and parcel of inclusive growth. 3<br />

The case for reducing inequality can be strengthened if it can be shown that there<br />

is a negative link between high inequality and the pace and pattern of subsequent<br />

growth, as argued by proponents of the New Political Economy of Development.<br />

These authors presume that high inequality dampens future growth through a variety<br />

of channels, such as the diffusion of political and social instability, unproductive rentseeking<br />

activities, and reduced security of property rights (Perotti, 1993; Thorbecke<br />

and Charumilind, 2002; and Devereux and Sabates-Wheeler, 2007). Furthermore,<br />

within the context of SSA, inequality in access to oil, mining, and other resources<br />

can exacerbate regional, ethnic, and tribal conflicts. 4<br />

5.3 Socio-economic performance during the present growth spell in Sub-<br />

Saharan Africa: How inclusive has it been?<br />

In this section we review the evidence relating to the present growth spell in SSA.<br />

First, we use a macro lens to scrutinize the macroeconomic performance and current<br />

trends, focusing specifically on growth, poverty, inequality, and human development;<br />

then we use an inter-sectoral and sectoral lens to evaluate how inclusive the present<br />

structural transformation is. 5<br />

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